Incumbent Rep. Laura Gillen's incumbency advantage and dominant fundraising—highlighted by her latest FEC filing showing $1.3 million raised and $3.2 million cash on hand—position her as the clear trader consensus favorite at 71% to win the NY-04 Democratic primary on June 23. Challengers like former Assembly member Taylor Darling, who launched her bid in February criticizing Gillen's ICE funding vote, hold just 5.3%, while Nicholas Sciretta trails at 13.5% with limited visibility and grassroots efforts. Absent public polls, market pricing reflects establishment support for Gillen, including EMILYs List backing, in this competitive Long Island district ahead of early voting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाLaura Gillen 61%
Nicholas Sciretta 14%
Taylor Darling 4.7%
Gian Jones <1%
$15,361 वॉल्यूम
$15,361 वॉल्यूम
23 जून, 2026
Laura Gillen
71%
Nicholas Sciretta
14%
Taylor Darling
5%
Gian Jones
<1%
Laura Gillen 61%
Nicholas Sciretta 14%
Taylor Darling 4.7%
Gian Jones <1%
$15,361 वॉल्यूम
$15,361 वॉल्यूम
23 जून, 2026
Laura Gillen
$4,551 वॉल्यूम
71%
Nicholas Sciretta
$7,209 वॉल्यूम
14%
Taylor Darling
$2,016 वॉल्यूम
5%
Gian Jones
$1,586 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Laura Gillen's incumbency advantage and dominant fundraising—highlighted by her latest FEC filing showing $1.3 million raised and $3.2 million cash on hand—position her as the clear trader consensus favorite at 71% to win the NY-04 Democratic primary on June 23. Challengers like former Assembly member Taylor Darling, who launched her bid in February criticizing Gillen's ICE funding vote, hold just 5.3%, while Nicholas Sciretta trails at 13.5% with limited visibility and grassroots efforts. Absent public polls, market pricing reflects establishment support for Gillen, including EMILYs List backing, in this competitive Long Island district ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 1, 2025, 3:58 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$15,361समाप्ति तिथि
23 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 1, 2025, 3:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Laura Gillen's incumbency advantage and dominant fundraising—highlighted by her latest FEC filing showing $1.3 million raised and $3.2 million cash on hand—position her as the clear trader consensus favorite at 71% to win the NY-04 Democratic primary on June 23. Challengers like former Assembly member Taylor Darling, who launched her bid in February criticizing Gillen's ICE funding vote, hold just 5.3%, while Nicholas Sciretta trails at 13.5% with limited visibility and grassroots efforts. Absent public polls, market pricing reflects establishment support for Gillen, including EMILYs List backing, in this competitive Long Island district ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$15,361समाप्ति तिथि
23 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 1, 2025, 3:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Laura Gillen's incumbency advantage and dominant fundraising—highlighted by her latest FEC filing showing $1.3 million raised and $3.2 million cash on hand—position her as the clear trader consensus favorite at 71% to win the NY-04 Democratic primary on June 23. Challengers like former Assembly member Taylor Darling, who launched her bid in February criticizing Gillen's ICE funding vote, hold just 5.3%, while Nicholas Sciretta trails at 13.5% with limited visibility and grassroots efforts. Absent public polls, market pricing reflects establishment support for Gillen, including EMILYs List backing, in this competitive Long Island district ahead of early voting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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