Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91.5% implied probability for Apple releasing the iPhone 18 in 2026, anchored by the company's unbroken annual September launch cycle since 2007 and fresh supply chain leaks from early April confirming iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max production ramp-up for a fall debut alongside a foldable model. Credible reports detail anticipated upgrades like a 2nm A20 Pro chip, variable aperture cameras, and larger batteries, signaling steady progress without disruptions. This skin-in-the-game sentiment reflects historical reliability, though realistic risks include rumored base model delays to spring 2027, potential supply chain hiccups, or economic pressures that could push timelines—watch for September event teasers or WWDC hints.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$85,138 वॉल्यूम
$85,138 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
$85,138 वॉल्यूम
$85,138 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91.5% implied probability for Apple releasing the iPhone 18 in 2026, anchored by the company's unbroken annual September launch cycle since 2007 and fresh supply chain leaks from early April confirming iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max production ramp-up for a fall debut alongside a foldable model. Credible reports detail anticipated upgrades like a 2nm A20 Pro chip, variable aperture cameras, and larger batteries, signaling steady progress without disruptions. This skin-in-the-game sentiment reflects historical reliability, though realistic risks include rumored base model delays to spring 2027, potential supply chain hiccups, or economic pressures that could push timelines—watch for September event teasers or WWDC hints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$85,138समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91.5% implied probability for Apple releasing the iPhone 18 in 2026, anchored by the company's unbroken annual September launch cycle since 2007 and fresh supply chain leaks from early April confirming iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max production ramp-up for a fall debut alongside a foldable model. Credible reports detail anticipated upgrades like a 2nm A20 Pro chip, variable aperture cameras, and larger batteries, signaling steady progress without disruptions. This skin-in-the-game sentiment reflects historical reliability, though realistic risks include rumored base model delays to spring 2027, potential supply chain hiccups, or economic pressures that could push timelines—watch for September event teasers or WWDC hints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$85,138समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91.5% implied probability for Apple releasing the iPhone 18 in 2026, anchored by the company's unbroken annual September launch cycle since 2007 and fresh supply chain leaks from early April confirming iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max production ramp-up for a fall debut alongside a foldable model. Credible reports detail anticipated upgrades like a 2nm A20 Pro chip, variable aperture cameras, and larger batteries, signaling steady progress without disruptions. This skin-in-the-game sentiment reflects historical reliability, though realistic risks include rumored base model delays to spring 2027, potential supply chain hiccups, or economic pressures that could push timelines—watch for September event teasers or WWDC hints.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न