Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Claude experiencing downtime on 12+ days in May at 70% implied probability, driven by Anthropic's persistent infrastructure strain revealed through a spate of outages in March and early April 2026. Elevated errors disrupted Claude.ai and API services on April 15, 13, 7, and 6—often tied to capacity limits amid surging demand for models like Opus 4.6 and Sonnet 4.6—following a "madcap" March with at least five major incidents and 98.21% monthly uptime. Rapid feature rollouts, including Claude Mythos preview, have prioritized innovation over stability, leading traders to extrapolate frequent daily disruptions into May absent announced fixes. Lower buckets like 9-11 days (28.5%) reflect some optimism for marginal improvements, while key watchpoints include Anthropic's status updates and user growth metrics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12+ 70%
9-11 27%
6-8 25%
3-5 24%
नया
नया
31 मई, 2026
0-2
9%
3-5
15%
6-8
16%
9-11
19%
12+
70%
12+ 70%
9-11 27%
6-8 25%
3-5 24%
नया
नया
31 मई, 2026
0-2
$129 वॉल्यूम
9%
3-5
$633 वॉल्यूम
15%
6-8
$37 वॉल्यूम
16%
9-11
$50 वॉल्यूम
19%
12+
$338 वॉल्यूम
70%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Claude experiencing downtime on 12+ days in May at 70% implied probability, driven by Anthropic's persistent infrastructure strain revealed through a spate of outages in March and early April 2026. Elevated errors disrupted Claude.ai and API services on April 15, 13, 7, and 6—often tied to capacity limits amid surging demand for models like Opus 4.6 and Sonnet 4.6—following a "madcap" March with at least five major incidents and 98.21% monthly uptime. Rapid feature rollouts, including Claude Mythos preview, have prioritized innovation over stability, leading traders to extrapolate frequent daily disruptions into May absent announced fixes. Lower buckets like 9-11 days (28.5%) reflect some optimism for marginal improvements, while key watchpoints include Anthropic's status updates and user growth metrics.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,188समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Claude experiencing downtime on 12+ days in May at 70% implied probability, driven by Anthropic's persistent infrastructure strain revealed through a spate of outages in March and early April 2026. Elevated errors disrupted Claude.ai and API services on April 15, 13, 7, and 6—often tied to capacity limits amid surging demand for models like Opus 4.6 and Sonnet 4.6—following a "madcap" March with at least five major incidents and 98.21% monthly uptime. Rapid feature rollouts, including Claude Mythos preview, have prioritized innovation over stability, leading traders to extrapolate frequent daily disruptions into May absent announced fixes. Lower buckets like 9-11 days (28.5%) reflect some optimism for marginal improvements, while key watchpoints include Anthropic's status updates and user growth metrics.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
वॉल्यूम
$1,188समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Claude experiencing downtime on 12+ days in May at 70% implied probability, driven by Anthropic's persistent infrastructure strain revealed through a spate of outages in March and early April 2026. Elevated errors disrupted Claude.ai and API services on April 15, 13, 7, and 6—often tied to capacity limits amid surging demand for models like Opus 4.6 and Sonnet 4.6—following a "madcap" March with at least five major incidents and 98.21% monthly uptime. Rapid feature rollouts, including Claude Mythos preview, have prioritized innovation over stability, leading traders to extrapolate frequent daily disruptions into May absent announced fixes. Lower buckets like 9-11 days (28.5%) reflect some optimism for marginal improvements, while key watchpoints include Anthropic's status updates and user growth metrics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न