Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 74% implied probability for "No" on Sam Altman receiving OpenAI equity by June 30, driven by a leaked April 2026 cap table confirming his zero stake despite leading the AI lab's for-profit transition. Altman's longstanding public stance—earning just $76,000 annually without ownership to align with the original nonprofit mission—has held firm amid restructuring, with no official announcements or filings indicating a grant. Recent tensions, including CFO Sarah Friar's warnings on an aggressive 2026 IPO timeline and Elon Musk's lawsuit (jury selection April 27), heighten governance uncertainty, tempering expectations for near-term equity amid OpenAI's $86 billion valuation scrutiny.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानया
नया
30 जून, 2026
नया
नया
30 जून, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 74% implied probability for "No" on Sam Altman receiving OpenAI equity by June 30, driven by a leaked April 2026 cap table confirming his zero stake despite leading the AI lab's for-profit transition. Altman's longstanding public stance—earning just $76,000 annually without ownership to align with the original nonprofit mission—has held firm amid restructuring, with no official announcements or filings indicating a grant. Recent tensions, including CFO Sarah Friar's warnings on an aggressive 2026 IPO timeline and Elon Musk's lawsuit (jury selection April 27), heighten governance uncertainty, tempering expectations for near-term equity amid OpenAI's $86 billion valuation scrutiny.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 12, 2025, 5:14 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,887समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 74% implied probability for "No" on Sam Altman receiving OpenAI equity by June 30, driven by a leaked April 2026 cap table confirming his zero stake despite leading the AI lab's for-profit transition. Altman's longstanding public stance—earning just $76,000 annually without ownership to align with the original nonprofit mission—has held firm amid restructuring, with no official announcements or filings indicating a grant. Recent tensions, including CFO Sarah Friar's warnings on an aggressive 2026 IPO timeline and Elon Musk's lawsuit (jury selection April 27), heighten governance uncertainty, tempering expectations for near-term equity amid OpenAI's $86 billion valuation scrutiny.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$4,887समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 74% implied probability for "No" on Sam Altman receiving OpenAI equity by June 30, driven by a leaked April 2026 cap table confirming his zero stake despite leading the AI lab's for-profit transition. Altman's longstanding public stance—earning just $76,000 annually without ownership to align with the original nonprofit mission—has held firm amid restructuring, with no official announcements or filings indicating a grant. Recent tensions, including CFO Sarah Friar's warnings on an aggressive 2026 IPO timeline and Elon Musk's lawsuit (jury selection April 27), heighten governance uncertainty, tempering expectations for near-term equity amid OpenAI's $86 billion valuation scrutiny.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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