Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) have maintained control of Khartoum since recapturing the capital in mid-2025, with the army-aligned government returning in January 2026 amid a military impasse that divides the country—SAF holding the east and center, Rapid Support Forces (RSF) dominating the west including most of Darfur. Recent fighting centers on peripheral fronts like Kordofan and Blue Nile, where RSF mobilizations and cross-border actions from Ethiopia have occurred, but no significant advances toward Khartoum have materialized in the past year. Trader consensus at 97.4% "No" reflects this entrenched stalemate and resource exhaustion after three years of civil war, leaving scant time for RSF to mount a decisive offensive by June 30. Potential shifts could arise from escalated military aid, leadership changes, or diplomatic breakthroughs, though historical patterns favor continued deadlock.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या आरएसएफ 30 जून तक खार्तूम पर कब्जा कर लेगा?
क्या आरएसएफ 30 जून तक खार्तूम पर कब्जा कर लेगा?
हाँ
$18,007 वॉल्यूम
$18,007 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
हाँ
$18,007 वॉल्यूम
$18,007 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) have maintained control of Khartoum since recapturing the capital in mid-2025, with the army-aligned government returning in January 2026 amid a military impasse that divides the country—SAF holding the east and center, Rapid Support Forces (RSF) dominating the west including most of Darfur. Recent fighting centers on peripheral fronts like Kordofan and Blue Nile, where RSF mobilizations and cross-border actions from Ethiopia have occurred, but no significant advances toward Khartoum have materialized in the past year. Trader consensus at 97.4% "No" reflects this entrenched stalemate and resource exhaustion after three years of civil war, leaving scant time for RSF to mount a decisive offensive by June 30. Potential shifts could arise from escalated military aid, leadership changes, or diplomatic breakthroughs, though historical patterns favor continued deadlock.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$18,007समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) have maintained control of Khartoum since recapturing the capital in mid-2025, with the army-aligned government returning in January 2026 amid a military impasse that divides the country—SAF holding the east and center, Rapid Support Forces (RSF) dominating the west including most of Darfur. Recent fighting centers on peripheral fronts like Kordofan and Blue Nile, where RSF mobilizations and cross-border actions from Ethiopia have occurred, but no significant advances toward Khartoum have materialized in the past year. Trader consensus at 97.4% "No" reflects this entrenched stalemate and resource exhaustion after three years of civil war, leaving scant time for RSF to mount a decisive offensive by June 30. Potential shifts could arise from escalated military aid, leadership changes, or diplomatic breakthroughs, though historical patterns favor continued deadlock.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
वॉल्यूम
$18,007समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) have maintained control of Khartoum since recapturing the capital in mid-2025, with the army-aligned government returning in January 2026 amid a military impasse that divides the country—SAF holding the east and center, Rapid Support Forces (RSF) dominating the west including most of Darfur. Recent fighting centers on peripheral fronts like Kordofan and Blue Nile, where RSF mobilizations and cross-border actions from Ethiopia have occurred, but no significant advances toward Khartoum have materialized in the past year. Trader consensus at 97.4% "No" reflects this entrenched stalemate and resource exhaustion after three years of civil war, leaving scant time for RSF to mount a decisive offensive by June 30. Potential shifts could arise from escalated military aid, leadership changes, or diplomatic breakthroughs, though historical patterns favor continued deadlock.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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