**Ongoing clashes between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) under Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) continue to block near-term ceasefire prospects.** SAF gains in North Kordofan and elsewhere contrast with RSF drone strikes on urban targets, while both sides reject or condition external proposals. The SAF insists on complete RSF withdrawal from cities occupied since 2023 before any truce, rejecting recent U.S.-backed frameworks for a 90-day humanitarian pause followed by talks on a permanent ceasefire and civilian transition. The UN Security Council’s unanimous one-month extension of the Darfur arms embargo (as of September 11, 2026) leaves a U.S. push for nationwide restrictions stalled by Russian opposition. Parallel Quintet and UN envoy visits to Khartoum focus on civilian dialogue and de-escalation but have not produced agreements, sustaining trader views that military momentum and external divisions make an imminent ceasefire unlikely.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासूडान गृह युद्ध संघर्ष विराम... तक?
सूडान गृह युद्ध संघर्ष विराम... तक?
$119,424 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
31 दिसंबर, 2026
13%
$119,424 वॉल्यूम
31 दिसंबर, 2026
$14,886 वॉल्यूम
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.**Ongoing clashes between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) under Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) continue to block near-term ceasefire prospects.** SAF gains in North Kordofan and elsewhere contrast with RSF drone strikes on urban targets, while both sides reject or condition external proposals. The SAF insists on complete RSF withdrawal from cities occupied since 2023 before any truce, rejecting recent U.S.-backed frameworks for a 90-day humanitarian pause followed by talks on a permanent ceasefire and civilian transition.
The UN Security Council’s unanimous one-month extension of the Darfur arms embargo (as of September 11, 2026) leaves a U.S. push for nationwide restrictions stalled by Russian opposition. Parallel Quintet and UN envoy visits to Khartoum focus on civilian dialogue and de-escalation but have not produced agreements, sustaining trader views that military momentum and external divisions make an imminent ceasefire unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$119,424समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.**Ongoing clashes between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) under Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) continue to block near-term ceasefire prospects.** SAF gains in North Kordofan and elsewhere contrast with RSF drone strikes on urban targets, while both sides reject or condition external proposals. The SAF insists on complete RSF withdrawal from cities occupied since 2023 before any truce, rejecting recent U.S.-backed frameworks for a 90-day humanitarian pause followed by talks on a permanent ceasefire and civilian transition.
The UN Security Council’s unanimous one-month extension of the Darfur arms embargo (as of September 11, 2026) leaves a U.S. push for nationwide restrictions stalled by Russian opposition. Parallel Quintet and UN envoy visits to Khartoum focus on civilian dialogue and de-escalation but have not produced agreements, sustaining trader views that military momentum and external divisions make an imminent ceasefire unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
वॉल्यूम
$119,424समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...**Ongoing clashes between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) under Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) continue to block near-term ceasefire prospects.** SAF gains in North Kordofan and elsewhere contrast with RSF drone strikes on urban targets, while both sides reject or condition external proposals. The SAF insists on complete RSF withdrawal from cities occupied since 2023 before any truce, rejecting recent U.S.-backed frameworks for a 90-day humanitarian pause followed by talks on a permanent ceasefire and civilian transition. The UN Security Council’s unanimous one-month extension of the Darfur arms embargo (as of September 11, 2026) leaves a U.S. push for nationwide restrictions stalled by Russian opposition. Parallel Quintet and UN envoy visits to Khartoum focus on civilian dialogue and de-escalation but have not produced agreements, sustaining trader views that military momentum and external divisions make an imminent ceasefire unlikely.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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