The Gaza ceasefire, initiated in Phase 1 under the U.S.-brokered plan in October 2025, transitioned to Phase 2 in January 2026, emphasizing Hamas demilitarization, Israeli withdrawal from most areas, technocratic Palestinian governance via a National Committee, and reconstruction overseen by a multinational Board of Peace. However, implementation stalls amid mutual accusations: Hamas cites over 2,000 Israeli attacks since the ceasefire, 765 Palestinian deaths, and only 38% of pledged humanitarian aid delivered, while Israel insists on full disarmament before rebuilding. Low-level violence persists, with 689 Palestinians killed to date per UN reports, and Hamas has regrouped in parts of the enclave. Ongoing technical negotiations in mid-April show positive signals but sticking points, keeping trader consensus cautious on timely Phase 2 advancement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$2,723,901 वॉल्यूम
30 जून
14%
$2,723,901 वॉल्यूम
30 जून
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement for the second phase of the Israel–Hamas ceasefire, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Israel and Hamas by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
For purposes of this market, a “second phase” ceasefire agreement refers to a deal publicly acknowledged by both Israel and Hamas (directly or via recognized mediators such as the U.S., Egypt, or Qatar) that goes beyond the Phase 1 initial truce and includes commitments towards a comprehensive or “full” ceasefire. Any agreement that is publicly described by the parties, or by mediators on their behalf, as the completion of “Phase 2” of the ceasefire will qualify, regardless of whether it includes further Israeli withdrawals beyond the “yellow line,” or agreements by Hamas to disarm.
An extension or continuation of the Phase 1 arrangement alone will not qualify.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Israel and Hamas, however a wide consensus of credible media reporting will also qualify.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 17, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement for the second phase of the Israel–Hamas ceasefire, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Israel and Hamas by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
For purposes of this market, a “second phase” ceasefire agreement refers to a deal publicly acknowledged by both Israel and Hamas (directly or via recognized mediators such as the U.S., Egypt, or Qatar) that goes beyond the Phase 1 initial truce and includes commitments towards a comprehensive or “full” ceasefire. Any agreement that is publicly described by the parties, or by mediators on their behalf, as the completion of “Phase 2” of the ceasefire will qualify, regardless of whether it includes further Israeli withdrawals beyond the “yellow line,” or agreements by Hamas to disarm.
An extension or continuation of the Phase 1 arrangement alone will not qualify.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Israel and Hamas, however a wide consensus of credible media reporting will also qualify.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Gaza ceasefire, initiated in Phase 1 under the U.S.-brokered plan in October 2025, transitioned to Phase 2 in January 2026, emphasizing Hamas demilitarization, Israeli withdrawal from most areas, technocratic Palestinian governance via a National Committee, and reconstruction overseen by a multinational Board of Peace. However, implementation stalls amid mutual accusations: Hamas cites over 2,000 Israeli attacks since the ceasefire, 765 Palestinian deaths, and only 38% of pledged humanitarian aid delivered, while Israel insists on full disarmament before rebuilding. Low-level violence persists, with 689 Palestinians killed to date per UN reports, and Hamas has regrouped in parts of the enclave. Ongoing technical negotiations in mid-April show positive signals but sticking points, keeping trader consensus cautious on timely Phase 2 advancement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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