Xi Jinping’s entrenched position as General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party, reinforced by recent military leadership purges and ongoing elite reshuffles favoring loyalists, underpins trader consensus that he will remain in power through June 30, 2026. Active engagement in diplomacy, including summits advancing a “constructive strategic stability” framework with the United States and hosting other leaders, alongside direction of the 15th Five-Year Plan, signals continuity rather than disruption. No verified public statements, institutional challenges, or health developments indicate removal. While low-probability events such as acute health incidents or sudden external crises could theoretically alter trajectories before the deadline, the absence of credible signals of instability in recent months sustains the strong implied probability against any change in leadership.