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icon for Beaches—East York By-Election Winner

Beaches—East York By-Election Winner

icon for Beaches—East York By-Election Winner

Beaches—East York By-Election Winner

Tanveer Shahnawaz 100.0%

Jocelyne Poirier <1%

Mike Layton <1%

Polymarket

$10,174 Vol.

Tanveer Shahnawaz 100.0%

Jocelyne Poirier <1%

Mike Layton <1%

Polymarket

$10,174 Vol.

icon for Tanveer Shahnawaz

Tanveer Shahnawaz

$8,569 Vol.

Yes

icon for Jocelyne Poirier

Jocelyne Poirier

$742 Vol.

No

icon for Mike Layton

Mike Layton

$862 Vol.

No

A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Beaches—East York is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).Tanveer Shahnawaz secured a commanding position in the Beaches—East York by-election market after the August 31, 2026, vote delivered him roughly 55 percent support in the long-standing Liberal stronghold. As the former constituency office manager for outgoing MP Nate Erskine-Smith, Shahnawaz benefited from name recognition, community roots in areas such as Crescent Town, and seamless party continuity under Prime Minister Mark Carney. Other candidates, including NDP’s Shannon Devine and Conservative Jim Syrbos, trailed significantly in early and final counts. The market’s near-certain pricing for Shahnawaz reflects these confirmed results, though formal certification or any unforeseen procedural delays could still influence final resolution timing.

A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Beaches—East York is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).
Volume
$10,174
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 6:55 PM ET
A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Beaches—East York is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: Yes

A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Beaches—East York is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).Tanveer Shahnawaz secured a commanding position in the Beaches—East York by-election market after the August 31, 2026, vote delivered him roughly 55 percent support in the long-standing Liberal stronghold. As the former constituency office manager for outgoing MP Nate Erskine-Smith, Shahnawaz benefited from name recognition, community roots in areas such as Crescent Town, and seamless party continuity under Prime Minister Mark Carney. Other candidates, including NDP’s Shannon Devine and Conservative Jim Syrbos, trailed significantly in early and final counts. The market’s near-certain pricing for Shahnawaz reflects these confirmed results, though formal certification or any unforeseen procedural delays could still influence final resolution timing.

A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Beaches—East York is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).
Volume
$10,174
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 6:55 PM ET
A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Beaches—East York is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: Yes

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Beaches—East York By-Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Tanveer Shahnawaz" di 100%, diikuti oleh "Jocelyne Poirier" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Beaches—East York By-Election Winner" telah menghasilkan $10.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 29, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Beaches—East York By-Election Winner," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Beaches—East York By-Election Winner" adalah "Tanveer Shahnawaz" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Jocelyne Poirier" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Beaches—East York By-Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.