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icon for Clavicular in jail by...?
Politik·Clav

Clavicular in jail by...?

icon for Clavicular in jail by...?
Politik·Clav

Clavicular in jail by...?

BARU
Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30

$0 Vol.

25%

October 31

$0 Vol.

26%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent criminal charges against looksmaxxing influencer Clavicular (Braden Peters) for rape, drugging a person for sex, and providing alcohol to a minor have become the dominant driver of trader sentiment on related jail or sentencing markets. Prosecutors filed the counts in a Cape Cod courthouse on September 8 stemming from a 2025 incident, with arraignment scheduled for October 14; Peters has not been arrested and remains active on a media tour. Traders appear to price in the extended legal timeline, potential plea outcomes, and historical precedent for high-profile cases, keeping implied probabilities for jail time by year-end low. Precursor civil claims and prior misdemeanor matters add context but have not shifted momentum dramatically ahead of the next court date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 21, 2026, 11:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent criminal charges against looksmaxxing influencer Clavicular (Braden Peters) for rape, drugging a person for sex, and providing alcohol to a minor have become the dominant driver of trader sentiment on related jail or sentencing markets. Prosecutors filed the counts in a Cape Cod courthouse on September 8 stemming from a 2025 incident, with arraignment scheduled for October 14; Peters has not been arrested and remains active on a media tour. Traders appear to price in the extended legal timeline, potential plea outcomes, and historical precedent for high-profile cases, keeping implied probabilities for jail time by year-end low. Precursor civil claims and prior misdemeanor matters add context but have not shifted momentum dramatically ahead of the next court date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 21, 2026, 11:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Terkait

icon for Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

9%
icon for Will Clavicular be arrested by September 30?

Will Clavicular be arrested by September 30?

33%
icon for Clavicular convicted of rape?

Clavicular convicted of rape?

48%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Clavicular in jail by...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "October 31" di 26%, diikuti oleh "September 30" di 25%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 26¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 26% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Clavicular in jail by...?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Sep 21, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Clavicular in jail by...?," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Clavicular in jail by...?" adalah "October 31" di 26%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 26% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "September 30" di 25%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Clavicular in jail by...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.