Recent FBI seizure of Eric Swalwell’s electronic devices at San Francisco airport and subsequent search of his Washington home, conducted as part of an active federal civil-rights probe into sexual-misconduct allegations, has intensified scrutiny but produced no charging documents. Parallel state-level inquiries by the Manhattan District Attorney and Los Angeles Sheriff’s Department remain in evidence-gathering stages following the April 2026 allegations that prompted his congressional resignation. Federal charging decisions typically follow extended grand-jury review and inter-agency coordination, making formal action before the September 30 resolution window improbable absent an abrupt development. Trader pricing at 82 percent for “No” therefore reflects the procedural timeline separating an ongoing investigation from an indictment.