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Pemenang Eurovision 2026

Market icon

Pemenang Eurovision 2026

Finlandia 36.5%

Prancis 11.3%

Denmark 10.3%

Australia 7.2%

Polymarket

$95,539,484 Vol.

Finlandia 36.5%

Prancis 11.3%

Denmark 10.3%

Australia 7.2%

Polymarket

$95,539,484 Vol.

Apakah Finlandia akan menang Eurovision 2026? icon

Finlandia

$2,599,730 Vol.

37%

Apakah Prancis akan memenangkan Eurovision 2026? icon

Prancis

$1,903,486 Vol.

11%

Apakah Denmark akan memenangkan Eurovision 2026? icon

Denmark

$1,357,645 Vol.

10%

Apakah Australia akan memenangkan Eurovision 2026? icon

Australia

$1,629,297 Vol.

7%

Apakah Yunani akan menang Eurovision 2026? icon

Yunani

$1,871,991 Vol.

6%

Akankah Israel menang Eurovision 2026? icon

Israel

$1,715,406 Vol.

6%

Apakah Swedia akan menang Eurovision 2026? icon

Swedia

$1,373,638 Vol.

3%

Apakah Italia akan memenangkan Eurovision 2026? icon

Italia

$2,185,101 Vol.

3%

Apakah Rumania akan memenangkan Eurovision 2026? icon

Rumania

$1,449,010 Vol.

3%

Apakah Ukraina akan memenangkan Eurovision 2026? icon

Ukraina

$1,629,838 Vol.

2%

Apakah Ceko akan menang Eurovision 2026? icon

Ceko

$1,196,427 Vol.

1%

Apakah Bulgaria akan menang Eurovision 2026? icon

Bulgaria

$1,725,666 Vol.

1%

Apakah Siprus akan memenangkan Eurovision 2026? icon

Siprus

$1,557,215 Vol.

1%

Akankah Malta menang Eurovision 2026? icon

Malta

$1,668,553 Vol.

1%

Apakah Moldova akan menang Eurovision 2026? icon

Moldova

$1,840,900 Vol.

1%

Apakah Kroasia akan menang Eurovision 2026? icon

Kroasia

$1,678,651 Vol.

1%

Apakah Luksemburg akan memenangkan Eurovision 2026? icon

Luksemburg

$2,086,030 Vol.

1%

Apakah Norwegia akan memenangkan Eurovision 2026? icon

Norwegia

$2,769,941 Vol.

1%

Apakah Jerman akan memenangkan Eurovision 2026? icon

Jerman

$1,913,110 Vol.

<1%

Apakah Lithuania akan menang Eurovision 2026? icon

Lithuania

$3,283,781 Vol.

<1%

Apakah Inggris akan memenangkan Eurovision 2026? icon

Inggris

$1,946,232 Vol.

<1%

Apakah Austria akan memenangkan Eurovision 2026? icon

Austria

$5,153,544 Vol.

<1%

Akankah Belgia memenangkan Eurovision 2026? icon

Belgia

$2,490,556 Vol.

<1%

Apakah Armenia akan menang Eurovision 2026? icon

Armenia

$4,054,589 Vol.

<1%

Apakah Azerbaijan akan menang Eurovision 2026? icon

Azerbaijan

$4,541,286 Vol.

<1%

Apakah Polandia akan menang Eurovision 2026? icon

Polandia

$3,995,332 Vol.

<1%

Apakah Serbia akan memenangkan Eurovision 2026? icon

Serbia

$2,683,926 Vol.

<1%

Apakah Swiss akan menang Eurovision 2026? icon

Swiss

$3,498,959 Vol.

<1%

Apakah Albania akan menang Eurovision 2026? icon

Albania

$4,011,544 Vol.

<1%

Apakah Estonia akan memenangkan Eurovision 2026? icon

Estonia

$4,652,173 Vol.

<1%

Apakah Latvia akan menang Eurovision 2026? icon

Latvia

$3,966,409 Vol.

<1%

Apakah Portugal akan memenangkan Eurovision 2026? icon

Portugal

$3,851,193 Vol.

<1%

Akankah San Marino memenangkan Eurovision 2026? icon

San Marino

$4,432,188 Vol.

<1%

Apakah Georgia akan memenangkan Eurovision 2026? icon

Georgia

$4,246,271 Vol.

<1%

Apakah Montenegro akan memenangkan Eurovision 2026? icon

Montenegro

$4,585,104 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 36.5% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, propelled by their commanding UMK victory in late February with the dance-pop anthem "Liekinheitin," blending virtuoso violin hooks and stadium-ready energy that has dominated fan polls like OGAE and bookmakers since song release. Recent live showcases at Eurovision In Concert have amplified buzz, positioning it as a televote juggernaut despite EBU rules scrutiny on live instruments. France (11.3%) and Denmark (10.3%) trail as jury-friendly contenders from finalized national selections, with Australia, Greece, and Israel rounding out the pack amid completed entries for all 35 participants. Momentum could shift with semi-final draws on May 12-14 and fan-voter splits historically upending frontrunners.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$95,539,484
Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 36.5% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, propelled by their commanding UMK victory in late February with the dance-pop anthem "Liekinheitin," blending virtuoso violin hooks and stadium-ready energy that has dominated fan polls like OGAE and bookmakers since song release. Recent live showcases at Eurovision In Concert have amplified buzz, positioning it as a televote juggernaut despite EBU rules scrutiny on live instruments. France (11.3%) and Denmark (10.3%) trail as jury-friendly contenders from finalized national selections, with Australia, Greece, and Israel rounding out the pack amid completed entries for all 35 participants. Momentum could shift with semi-final draws on May 12-14 and fan-voter splits historically upending frontrunners.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$95,539,484
Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemenang Eurovision 2026" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 35 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Finlandia" di 37%, diikuti oleh "Prancis" di 11%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 37¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 37% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemenang Eurovision 2026" telah menghasilkan $95.5 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 6, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemenang Eurovision 2026," jelajahi 35 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemenang Eurovision 2026" adalah "Finlandia" di 37%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 37% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Prancis" di 11%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemenang Eurovision 2026" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.