Official observations from Argentina’s national meteorological service recorded a daily maximum of 10°C in Buenos Aires on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-winter conditions featured stable high pressure, light northerly winds, and clear skies that limited daytime warming, keeping temperatures below the seasonal average high near 15–17°C. Forecast models had converged on this range days earlier, and post-event verification eliminated residual uncertainty around measurement thresholds or microclimate variations at official stations. A data revision or reanalysis uncovering an overlooked peak would be the only realistic path to altering the resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for this location and date.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 14?
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$39,582 Vol.
$39,582 Vol.
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$39,582 Vol.
$39,582 Vol.
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Official observations from Argentina’s national meteorological service recorded a daily maximum of 10°C in Buenos Aires on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-winter conditions featured stable high pressure, light northerly winds, and clear skies that limited daytime warming, keeping temperatures below the seasonal average high near 15–17°C. Forecast models had converged on this range days earlier, and post-event verification eliminated residual uncertainty around measurement thresholds or microclimate variations at official stations. A data revision or reanalysis uncovering an overlooked peak would be the only realistic path to altering the resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for this location and date.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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