**Forecast model consensus for Chongqing on July 27 points to a peak near 38–39 °C under typical midsummer subtropical conditions.** High humidity and the city’s basin topography support strong daytime heating, while scattered thunderstorms—common in the East Asian monsoon regime—could limit the daily maximum by enhancing cloud cover or evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the 38–39 °C threshold because small differences in convective timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the realized high by 1–2 °C. Historical July extremes in Chongqing often reach or exceed 40 °C, yet recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes while assigning lower probability to both sub-37 °C and 40 °C+ scenarios. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chongqing on July 27?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 27?
38°C 35%
39°C 29%
40°C 18%
37°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Jul 27, 2026
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
4%
37°C
15%
38°C
35%
39°C
29%
40°C
18%
41°C
4%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
38°C 35%
39°C 29%
40°C 18%
37°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Jul 27, 2026
33°C or below
$324 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$496 Vol.
1%
35°C
$200 Vol.
2%
36°C
$351 Vol.
4%
37°C
$771 Vol.
15%
38°C
$986 Vol.
35%
39°C
$1,117 Vol.
29%
40°C
$1,024 Vol.
18%
41°C
$695 Vol.
4%
42°C
$96 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus for Chongqing on July 27 points to a peak near 38–39 °C under typical midsummer subtropical conditions.** High humidity and the city’s basin topography support strong daytime heating, while scattered thunderstorms—common in the East Asian monsoon regime—could limit the daily maximum by enhancing cloud cover or evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the 38–39 °C threshold because small differences in convective timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the realized high by 1–2 °C. Historical July extremes in Chongqing often reach or exceed 40 °C, yet recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes while assigning lower probability to both sub-37 °C and 40 °C+ scenarios. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$6,099Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus for Chongqing on July 27 points to a peak near 38–39 °C under typical midsummer subtropical conditions.** High humidity and the city’s basin topography support strong daytime heating, while scattered thunderstorms—common in the East Asian monsoon regime—could limit the daily maximum by enhancing cloud cover or evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the 38–39 °C threshold because small differences in convective timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the realized high by 1–2 °C. Historical July extremes in Chongqing often reach or exceed 40 °C, yet recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes while assigning lower probability to both sub-37 °C and 40 °C+ scenarios. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,099Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast model consensus for Chongqing on July 27 points to a peak near 38–39 °C under typical midsummer subtropical conditions.** High humidity and the city’s basin topography support strong daytime heating, while scattered thunderstorms—common in the East Asian monsoon regime—could limit the daily maximum by enhancing cloud cover or evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the 38–39 °C threshold because small differences in convective timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the realized high by 1–2 °C. Historical July extremes in Chongqing often reach or exceed 40 °C, yet recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes while assigning lower probability to both sub-37 °C and 40 °C+ scenarios. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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