Forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources and international providers converge on a highest temperature of 33–35°C for Chongqing on September 3 under persistent clear to mostly sunny conditions driven by a stable high-pressure ridge, light easterly winds, and strong solar insolation typical of the region’s late-summer subtropical climate. Official local guidance projects center-city highs near 35°C with regional peaks to 36°C, consistent with recent observations of 34–38°C across parts of the municipality and the absence of cooling fronts or significant moisture through the period. Market-implied odds heavily favor 35°C because these data place that threshold at the upper end of the most probable range while acknowledging modest model spread and the possibility of slight under- or over-achievement depending on exact boundary-layer mixing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 3?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 3?
35°C 49%
34°C 27%
36°C 11%
33°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
30°C or below
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
7%
33°C
8%
34°C
27%
35°C
49%
36°C
11%
37°C
6%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
2%
35°C 49%
34°C 27%
36°C 11%
33°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
30°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C
$70 Vol.
3%
32°C
$21 Vol.
7%
33°C
$38 Vol.
8%
34°C
$367 Vol.
27%
35°C
$236 Vol.
49%
36°C
$9 Vol.
11%
37°C
$20 Vol.
6%
38°C
$79 Vol.
4%
39°C
$5 Vol.
2%
40°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources and international providers converge on a highest temperature of 33–35°C for Chongqing on September 3 under persistent clear to mostly sunny conditions driven by a stable high-pressure ridge, light easterly winds, and strong solar insolation typical of the region’s late-summer subtropical climate. Official local guidance projects center-city highs near 35°C with regional peaks to 36°C, consistent with recent observations of 34–38°C across parts of the municipality and the absence of cooling fronts or significant moisture through the period. Market-implied odds heavily favor 35°C because these data place that threshold at the upper end of the most probable range while acknowledging modest model spread and the possibility of slight under- or over-achievement depending on exact boundary-layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$850Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources and international providers converge on a highest temperature of 33–35°C for Chongqing on September 3 under persistent clear to mostly sunny conditions driven by a stable high-pressure ridge, light easterly winds, and strong solar insolation typical of the region’s late-summer subtropical climate. Official local guidance projects center-city highs near 35°C with regional peaks to 36°C, consistent with recent observations of 34–38°C across parts of the municipality and the absence of cooling fronts or significant moisture through the period. Market-implied odds heavily favor 35°C because these data place that threshold at the upper end of the most probable range while acknowledging modest model spread and the possibility of slight under- or over-achievement depending on exact boundary-layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$850Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources and international providers converge on a highest temperature of 33–35°C for Chongqing on September 3 under persistent clear to mostly sunny conditions driven by a stable high-pressure ridge, light easterly winds, and strong solar insolation typical of the region’s late-summer subtropical climate. Official local guidance projects center-city highs near 35°C with regional peaks to 36°C, consistent with recent observations of 34–38°C across parts of the municipality and the absence of cooling fronts or significant moisture through the period. Market-implied odds heavily favor 35°C because these data place that threshold at the upper end of the most probable range while acknowledging modest model spread and the possibility of slight under- or over-achievement depending on exact boundary-layer mixing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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