**Persistent moisture and thunderstorm activity are the main drivers moderating Houston’s expected high on July 16, keeping trader consensus centered on 90–93°F.** Official National Weather Service guidance points to a mostly cloudy day with a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms, especially midday, which limits solar heating and caps the peak near 91°F. This aligns with the market’s top outcomes (90–91°F at 37.5%, 92–93°F at 29%), reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud timing and storm coverage. Recent days have featured scattered to widespread convection tied to a moist airmass, preventing the clearer, hotter conditions typical of mid-July (normal highs ~93–95°F). Model spreads in convective initiation and boundary-layer mixing explain the probability distribution across the 88–93°F range, while lower-probability outcomes above 94°F or below 88°F would require either suppressed clouds or stronger stabilization than currently indicated. Updated NWS and model runs on the morning of July 16 will be the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Houston on July 16?
Highest temperature in Houston on July 16?
90-91°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$36,493 Vol.
$36,493 Vol.
Jul 16, 2026
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
Yes
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
90-91°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$36,493 Vol.
$36,493 Vol.
Jul 16, 2026
79°F or below
$470 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$575 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$2,869 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$2,723 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$4,477 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$7,326 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$4,659 Vol.
Yes
92-93°F
$4,609 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$4,090 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$2,453 Vol.
No
98°F or higher
$2,242 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent moisture and thunderstorm activity are the main drivers moderating Houston’s expected high on July 16, keeping trader consensus centered on 90–93°F.**
Official National Weather Service guidance points to a mostly cloudy day with a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms, especially midday, which limits solar heating and caps the peak near 91°F. This aligns with the market’s top outcomes (90–91°F at 37.5%, 92–93°F at 29%), reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud timing and storm coverage.
Recent days have featured scattered to widespread convection tied to a moist airmass, preventing the clearer, hotter conditions typical of mid-July (normal highs ~93–95°F). Model spreads in convective initiation and boundary-layer mixing explain the probability distribution across the 88–93°F range, while lower-probability outcomes above 94°F or below 88°F would require either suppressed clouds or stronger stabilization than currently indicated. Updated NWS and model runs on the morning of July 16 will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$36,493Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent moisture and thunderstorm activity are the main drivers moderating Houston’s expected high on July 16, keeping trader consensus centered on 90–93°F.**
Official National Weather Service guidance points to a mostly cloudy day with a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms, especially midday, which limits solar heating and caps the peak near 91°F. This aligns with the market’s top outcomes (90–91°F at 37.5%, 92–93°F at 29%), reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud timing and storm coverage.
Recent days have featured scattered to widespread convection tied to a moist airmass, preventing the clearer, hotter conditions typical of mid-July (normal highs ~93–95°F). Model spreads in convective initiation and boundary-layer mixing explain the probability distribution across the 88–93°F range, while lower-probability outcomes above 94°F or below 88°F would require either suppressed clouds or stronger stabilization than currently indicated. Updated NWS and model runs on the morning of July 16 will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,493Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**Persistent moisture and thunderstorm activity are the main drivers moderating Houston’s expected high on July 16, keeping trader consensus centered on 90–93°F.** Official National Weather Service guidance points to a mostly cloudy day with a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms, especially midday, which limits solar heating and caps the peak near 91°F. This aligns with the market’s top outcomes (90–91°F at 37.5%, 92–93°F at 29%), reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud timing and storm coverage. Recent days have featured scattered to widespread convection tied to a moist airmass, preventing the clearer, hotter conditions typical of mid-July (normal highs ~93–95°F). Model spreads in convective initiation and boundary-layer mixing explain the probability distribution across the 88–93°F range, while lower-probability outcomes above 94°F or below 88°F would require either suppressed clouds or stronger stabilization than currently indicated. Updated NWS and model runs on the morning of July 16 will be the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan