Official Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow Airport and central sites, confirm a maximum screen-height temperature of 13°C on May 6, 2026, under persistent cloud cover and a cool northerly airmass that suppressed daytime heating despite light winds. This aligns with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 13°C, reflecting verified hourly data releases showing peaks around midday before evening cooling to 10-11°C. Compared to May climatological averages of 16-17°C highs, the cooler conditions stemmed from recent low-pressure dominance over the UK, limiting solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include rare provisional data revisions during quality control or overlooked outlier readings from peripheral sensors, though Met Office maxima are authoritative and stable post-initial reporting; final daily extremes updates expected shortly.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on May 6?
13°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$299,402 Vol.
$299,402 Vol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$299,402 Vol.
$299,402 Vol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 4, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Official Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow Airport and central sites, confirm a maximum screen-height temperature of 13°C on May 6, 2026, under persistent cloud cover and a cool northerly airmass that suppressed daytime heating despite light winds. This aligns with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 13°C, reflecting verified hourly data releases showing peaks around midday before evening cooling to 10-11°C. Compared to May climatological averages of 16-17°C highs, the cooler conditions stemmed from recent low-pressure dominance over the UK, limiting solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include rare provisional data revisions during quality control or overlooked outlier readings from peripheral sensors, though Met Office maxima are authoritative and stable post-initial reporting; final daily extremes updates expected shortly.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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