Recent short-range model guidance from sources such as ECMWF and GFS places Moscow’s July 13 maximum near 21–24 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds centered on 22–24 °C. This range sits close to the city’s July climatological average high of roughly 23–24 °C, reflecting a transitional summer pattern where modest high-pressure influence competes with lingering moisture and possible light showers that limit daytime heating. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture advection from the northwest, and the exact timing of any frontal passage, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with successive model runs likely to refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on July 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on July 13?
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$35,075 Vol.
$35,075 Vol.
Jul 13, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$35,075 Vol.
$35,075 Vol.
Jul 13, 2026
16°C or below
$221 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,054 Vol.
No
18°C
$2,358 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,111 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,375 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,848 Vol.
No
22°C
$6,988 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$3,229 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,601 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,374 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$2,916 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources such as ECMWF and GFS places Moscow’s July 13 maximum near 21–24 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds centered on 22–24 °C. This range sits close to the city’s July climatological average high of roughly 23–24 °C, reflecting a transitional summer pattern where modest high-pressure influence competes with lingering moisture and possible light showers that limit daytime heating. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture advection from the northwest, and the exact timing of any frontal passage, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with successive model runs likely to refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$35,075Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources such as ECMWF and GFS places Moscow’s July 13 maximum near 21–24 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds centered on 22–24 °C. This range sits close to the city’s July climatological average high of roughly 23–24 °C, reflecting a transitional summer pattern where modest high-pressure influence competes with lingering moisture and possible light showers that limit daytime heating. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture advection from the northwest, and the exact timing of any frontal passage, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with successive model runs likely to refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,075Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent short-range model guidance from sources such as ECMWF and GFS places Moscow’s July 13 maximum near 21–24 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds centered on 22–24 °C. This range sits close to the city’s July climatological average high of roughly 23–24 °C, reflecting a transitional summer pattern where modest high-pressure influence competes with lingering moisture and possible light showers that limit daytime heating. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture advection from the northwest, and the exact timing of any frontal passage, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with successive model runs likely to refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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