Recent model runs from major forecasting centers show Moscow temperatures on July 21 likely peaking near 22–24 °C, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and weak high-pressure ridging over European Russia. These conditions, typical for mid-July under neutral ENSO influence, allow daytime heating without strong advection of warmer air masses. Traders assign roughly equal weight to the 22 °C, 23 °C, and 24 °C bins because small shifts in forecast timing or local urban heat-island effects can easily move the daily maximum across those thresholds, while probabilities drop sharply outside this range due to limited potential for either rapid warming or significant cooling in the current synoptic pattern. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System will likely refine the outlook before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on July 21?
Highest temperature in Moscow on July 21?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$49,932 Vol.
$49,932 Vol.
Jul 21, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$49,932 Vol.
$49,932 Vol.
Jul 21, 2026
17°C or below
$502 Vol.
No
18°C
$416 Vol.
No
19°C
$9,471 Vol.
No
20°C
$11,289 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,370 Vol.
No
22°C
$9,193 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,272 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,967 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$3,772 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,642 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$1,039 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from major forecasting centers show Moscow temperatures on July 21 likely peaking near 22–24 °C, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and weak high-pressure ridging over European Russia. These conditions, typical for mid-July under neutral ENSO influence, allow daytime heating without strong advection of warmer air masses. Traders assign roughly equal weight to the 22 °C, 23 °C, and 24 °C bins because small shifts in forecast timing or local urban heat-island effects can easily move the daily maximum across those thresholds, while probabilities drop sharply outside this range due to limited potential for either rapid warming or significant cooling in the current synoptic pattern. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System will likely refine the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$49,932Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from major forecasting centers show Moscow temperatures on July 21 likely peaking near 22–24 °C, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and weak high-pressure ridging over European Russia. These conditions, typical for mid-July under neutral ENSO influence, allow daytime heating without strong advection of warmer air masses. Traders assign roughly equal weight to the 22 °C, 23 °C, and 24 °C bins because small shifts in forecast timing or local urban heat-island effects can easily move the daily maximum across those thresholds, while probabilities drop sharply outside this range due to limited potential for either rapid warming or significant cooling in the current synoptic pattern. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System will likely refine the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$49,932Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent model runs from major forecasting centers show Moscow temperatures on July 21 likely peaking near 22–24 °C, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and weak high-pressure ridging over European Russia. These conditions, typical for mid-July under neutral ENSO influence, allow daytime heating without strong advection of warmer air masses. Traders assign roughly equal weight to the 22 °C, 23 °C, and 24 °C bins because small shifts in forecast timing or local urban heat-island effects can easily move the daily maximum across those thresholds, while probabilities drop sharply outside this range due to limited potential for either rapid warming or significant cooling in the current synoptic pattern. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System will likely refine the outlook before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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