**Official meteorological observations from Moscow's primary weather stations, including Vnukovo and central reporting sites under Russia's Hydrometcenter, confirmed the highest temperature reached exactly 21°C on May 3, 2026, aligning trader consensus at 100% implied probability.** This outcome matched pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and GFS-like Russian models, which projected daytime highs of 19–21°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds around 3–8 m/s, and a warming ridge over Central Russia. Typical early May climatology supports such moderate spring warmth, with historical averages near 17–19°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, such as instrument recalibrations or outlier station disqualifications, though final reports are typically binding within 24 hours. Traders await no further updates as resolution nears.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on May 3?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 3?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$62,598 Vol.
$62,598 Vol.
May 3, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$62,598 Vol.
$62,598 Vol.
May 3, 2026
14°C or below
$2,255 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,648 Vol.
No
16°C
$3,363 Vol.
No
17°C
$4,060 Vol.
No
18°C
$4,451 Vol.
No
19°C
$4,058 Vol.
No
20°C
$6,161 Vol.
No
21°C
$7,651 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$12,548 Vol.
No
23°C
$8,527 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$7,875 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official meteorological observations from Moscow's primary weather stations, including Vnukovo and central reporting sites under Russia's Hydrometcenter, confirmed the highest temperature reached exactly 21°C on May 3, 2026, aligning trader consensus at 100% implied probability.** This outcome matched pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and GFS-like Russian models, which projected daytime highs of 19–21°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds around 3–8 m/s, and a warming ridge over Central Russia. Typical early May climatology supports such moderate spring warmth, with historical averages near 17–19°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, such as instrument recalibrations or outlier station disqualifications, though final reports are typically binding within 24 hours. Traders await no further updates as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$62,598Tanggal Berakhir
May 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official meteorological observations from Moscow's primary weather stations, including Vnukovo and central reporting sites under Russia's Hydrometcenter, confirmed the highest temperature reached exactly 21°C on May 3, 2026, aligning trader consensus at 100% implied probability.** This outcome matched pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and GFS-like Russian models, which projected daytime highs of 19–21°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds around 3–8 m/s, and a warming ridge over Central Russia. Typical early May climatology supports such moderate spring warmth, with historical averages near 17–19°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, such as instrument recalibrations or outlier station disqualifications, though final reports are typically binding within 24 hours. Traders await no further updates as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$62,598Tanggal Berakhir
May 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**Official meteorological observations from Moscow's primary weather stations, including Vnukovo and central reporting sites under Russia's Hydrometcenter, confirmed the highest temperature reached exactly 21°C on May 3, 2026, aligning trader consensus at 100% implied probability.** This outcome matched pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and GFS-like Russian models, which projected daytime highs of 19–21°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds around 3–8 m/s, and a warming ridge over Central Russia. Typical early May climatology supports such moderate spring warmth, with historical averages near 17–19°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, such as instrument recalibrations or outlier station disqualifications, though final reports are typically binding within 24 hours. Traders await no further updates as resolution nears.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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