Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project a high near 15°C at Munich Airport (EDDM) on April 19, driving trader consensus with nearly equal implied probabilities for 14°C, 15°C, and 16°C outcomes. This tight clustering stems from model spread over afternoon cloud cover and isolated showers, which could limit solar insolation and suppress peaks by 1–2°C; clearer skies favor 16°C, while thicker clouds align with 14°C. Yesterday's 19°C high under sunny conditions contrasts with an approaching weak front introducing cooler air and variable boundary layer stability. Watch hourly DWD observations and final GFS runs today for shifts ahead of resolution via Wunderground data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on April 19?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 19?
15°C 31%
14°C 28%
16°C 23%
17°C 15%
$14,299 Vol.
$14,299 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
28%
15°C
31%
16°C
23%
17°C
15%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
15°C 31%
14°C 28%
16°C 23%
17°C 15%
$14,299 Vol.
$14,299 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
28%
15°C
31%
16°C
23%
17°C
15%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project a high near 15°C at Munich Airport (EDDM) on April 19, driving trader consensus with nearly equal implied probabilities for 14°C, 15°C, and 16°C outcomes. This tight clustering stems from model spread over afternoon cloud cover and isolated showers, which could limit solar insolation and suppress peaks by 1–2°C; clearer skies favor 16°C, while thicker clouds align with 14°C. Yesterday's 19°C high under sunny conditions contrasts with an approaching weak front introducing cooler air and variable boundary layer stability. Watch hourly DWD observations and final GFS runs today for shifts ahead of resolution via Wunderground data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan