Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C at 100% implied probability for Qingdao's highest temperature on April 29, driven by official observations from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD), the market's resolution source, which recorded a midday peak of 21°C per recent METAR reports amid clear skies and light southwest winds. China Meteorological Administration forecasts aligned with this, projecting a 19-21°C high under typical spring diurnal heating patterns, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima average 15-18°C but vary with high-pressure influence. Current evening cooling to around 16°C, post-sunset, solidifies this positioning; a realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon measurement revision or unreported sensor anomaly before daily close, with final data expected from CMA by midnight local time.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on April 29?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on April 29?
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$32,742 Vol.
$32,742 Vol.
Apr 29, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$32,742 Vol.
$32,742 Vol.
Apr 29, 2026
17°C or below
$9,587 Vol.
No
18°C
$6,786 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,835 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,108 Vol.
No
21°C
$8,081 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$904 Vol.
No
23°C
$352 Vol.
No
24°C
$184 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,343 Vol.
No
26°C
$254 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$308 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C at 100% implied probability for Qingdao's highest temperature on April 29, driven by official observations from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD), the market's resolution source, which recorded a midday peak of 21°C per recent METAR reports amid clear skies and light southwest winds. China Meteorological Administration forecasts aligned with this, projecting a 19-21°C high under typical spring diurnal heating patterns, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima average 15-18°C but vary with high-pressure influence. Current evening cooling to around 16°C, post-sunset, solidifies this positioning; a realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon measurement revision or unreported sensor anomaly before daily close, with final data expected from CMA by midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volume
$32,742Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C at 100% implied probability for Qingdao's highest temperature on April 29, driven by official observations from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD), the market's resolution source, which recorded a midday peak of 21°C per recent METAR reports amid clear skies and light southwest winds. China Meteorological Administration forecasts aligned with this, projecting a 19-21°C high under typical spring diurnal heating patterns, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima average 15-18°C but vary with high-pressure influence. Current evening cooling to around 16°C, post-sunset, solidifies this positioning; a realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon measurement revision or unreported sensor anomaly before daily close, with final data expected from CMA by midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$32,742Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C at 100% implied probability for Qingdao's highest temperature on April 29, driven by official observations from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD), the market's resolution source, which recorded a midday peak of 21°C per recent METAR reports amid clear skies and light southwest winds. China Meteorological Administration forecasts aligned with this, projecting a 19-21°C high under typical spring diurnal heating patterns, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima average 15-18°C but vary with high-pressure influence. Current evening cooling to around 16°C, post-sunset, solidifies this positioning; a realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon measurement revision or unreported sensor anomaly before daily close, with final data expected from CMA by midnight local time.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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