**Trader consensus in this Sao Paulo maximum-temperature market centers on 19–21°C, with 20°C carrying the highest implied probability at 39%.** Multiple official and model forecasts issued early on September 8, 2026, converge on a daytime high near 20°C under persistent low-to-mid-level cloud cover, light easterly winds, and scattered light rain or drizzle that limits surface heating. Sao Paulo’s subtropical spring climate typically sees September maxima around 25–27°C, but current synoptic conditions—high pressure with a moist easterly flow and extensive stratiform cloud—have suppressed temperatures several degrees below seasonal norms. Hourly guidance from sources such as Yr, the Met Office, and regional models shows temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 12°C to afternoon peaks of 19–20°C before cooling again, with little disagreement among runs. Recent observations confirm overcast skies and high humidity that further reduce insolation, reinforcing the 19–21°C cluster. Resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at INMET or Congonhas Airport stations; any unexpected clearing could push readings toward 22°C, while heavier rain would favor the lower tail. Traders appear to be weighting the current model consensus and observed cloud/rain trends most heavily.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 8?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 8?
20°C 39%
19°C 22%
21°C 18%
18°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 8, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
11%
19°C
22%
20°C
39%
21°C
18%
22°C
7%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 39%
19°C 22%
21°C 18%
18°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 8, 2026
15°C or below
$433 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$282 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$441 Vol.
3%
18°C
$659 Vol.
11%
19°C
$1,056 Vol.
22%
20°C
$1,193 Vol.
39%
21°C
$769 Vol.
18%
22°C
$1,287 Vol.
7%
23°C
$551 Vol.
3%
24°C
$411 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$327 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in this Sao Paulo maximum-temperature market centers on 19–21°C, with 20°C carrying the highest implied probability at 39%.** Multiple official and model forecasts issued early on September 8, 2026, converge on a daytime high near 20°C under persistent low-to-mid-level cloud cover, light easterly winds, and scattered light rain or drizzle that limits surface heating.
Sao Paulo’s subtropical spring climate typically sees September maxima around 25–27°C, but current synoptic conditions—high pressure with a moist easterly flow and extensive stratiform cloud—have suppressed temperatures several degrees below seasonal norms. Hourly guidance from sources such as Yr, the Met Office, and regional models shows temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 12°C to afternoon peaks of 19–20°C before cooling again, with little disagreement among runs.
Recent observations confirm overcast skies and high humidity that further reduce insolation, reinforcing the 19–21°C cluster. Resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at INMET or Congonhas Airport stations; any unexpected clearing could push readings toward 22°C, while heavier rain would favor the lower tail. Traders appear to be weighting the current model consensus and observed cloud/rain trends most heavily.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 6, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$7,408Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 6, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in this Sao Paulo maximum-temperature market centers on 19–21°C, with 20°C carrying the highest implied probability at 39%.** Multiple official and model forecasts issued early on September 8, 2026, converge on a daytime high near 20°C under persistent low-to-mid-level cloud cover, light easterly winds, and scattered light rain or drizzle that limits surface heating.
Sao Paulo’s subtropical spring climate typically sees September maxima around 25–27°C, but current synoptic conditions—high pressure with a moist easterly flow and extensive stratiform cloud—have suppressed temperatures several degrees below seasonal norms. Hourly guidance from sources such as Yr, the Met Office, and regional models shows temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 12°C to afternoon peaks of 19–20°C before cooling again, with little disagreement among runs.
Recent observations confirm overcast skies and high humidity that further reduce insolation, reinforcing the 19–21°C cluster. Resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at INMET or Congonhas Airport stations; any unexpected clearing could push readings toward 22°C, while heavier rain would favor the lower tail. Traders appear to be weighting the current model consensus and observed cloud/rain trends most heavily.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,408Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 6, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus in this Sao Paulo maximum-temperature market centers on 19–21°C, with 20°C carrying the highest implied probability at 39%.** Multiple official and model forecasts issued early on September 8, 2026, converge on a daytime high near 20°C under persistent low-to-mid-level cloud cover, light easterly winds, and scattered light rain or drizzle that limits surface heating. Sao Paulo’s subtropical spring climate typically sees September maxima around 25–27°C, but current synoptic conditions—high pressure with a moist easterly flow and extensive stratiform cloud—have suppressed temperatures several degrees below seasonal norms. Hourly guidance from sources such as Yr, the Met Office, and regional models shows temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 12°C to afternoon peaks of 19–20°C before cooling again, with little disagreement among runs. Recent observations confirm overcast skies and high humidity that further reduce insolation, reinforcing the 19–21°C cluster. Resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at INMET or Congonhas Airport stations; any unexpected clearing could push readings toward 22°C, while heavier rain would favor the lower tail. Traders appear to be weighting the current model consensus and observed cloud/rain trends most heavily.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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