Recent National Weather Service model runs and observational data indicate persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer over western Washington, suppressing daytime heating and positioning Seattle's August 15 maximum near the historical average of 77°F. This marine influence, reinforced by a weak upper-level trough lingering from earlier in the week, has kept recent highs in the mid-70s to around 80°F, with limited afternoon warming expected tomorrow. Trader consensus reflected in the 50% implied probability for 74–75°F and 30.5% for 78–79°F aligns with ensemble guidance showing modest variability but low odds of exceeding 82°F given the stable airmass and typical August diurnal patterns. Updated forecasts from NOAA and local offices will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seattle on August 15?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 15?
78-79°F 36%
80-81°F 23%
76-77°F 18%
82-83°F 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
73°F or below
2%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 36%
80-81°F 23%
76-77°F 18%
82-83°F 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
73°F or below
$0 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$41 Vol.
9%
76-77°F
$11 Vol.
18%
78-79°F
$27 Vol.
36%
80-81°F
$56 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$50 Vol.
13%
84-85°F
$48 Vol.
5%
86-87°F
$30 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$15 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
1%
92°F or higher
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model runs and observational data indicate persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer over western Washington, suppressing daytime heating and positioning Seattle's August 15 maximum near the historical average of 77°F. This marine influence, reinforced by a weak upper-level trough lingering from earlier in the week, has kept recent highs in the mid-70s to around 80°F, with limited afternoon warming expected tomorrow. Trader consensus reflected in the 50% implied probability for 74–75°F and 30.5% for 78–79°F aligns with ensemble guidance showing modest variability but low odds of exceeding 82°F given the stable airmass and typical August diurnal patterns. Updated forecasts from NOAA and local offices will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$257Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model runs and observational data indicate persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer over western Washington, suppressing daytime heating and positioning Seattle's August 15 maximum near the historical average of 77°F. This marine influence, reinforced by a weak upper-level trough lingering from earlier in the week, has kept recent highs in the mid-70s to around 80°F, with limited afternoon warming expected tomorrow. Trader consensus reflected in the 50% implied probability for 74–75°F and 30.5% for 78–79°F aligns with ensemble guidance showing modest variability but low odds of exceeding 82°F given the stable airmass and typical August diurnal patterns. Updated forecasts from NOAA and local offices will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$257Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model runs and observational data indicate persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer over western Washington, suppressing daytime heating and positioning Seattle's August 15 maximum near the historical average of 77°F. This marine influence, reinforced by a weak upper-level trough lingering from earlier in the week, has kept recent highs in the mid-70s to around 80°F, with limited afternoon warming expected tomorrow. Trader consensus reflected in the 50% implied probability for 74–75°F and 30.5% for 78–79°F aligns with ensemble guidance showing modest variability but low odds of exceeding 82°F given the stable airmass and typical August diurnal patterns. Updated forecasts from NOAA and local offices will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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