Traders assign closely matched probabilities across the 74–79°F bins for Seattle’s July 23 high because ensemble guidance shows modest spread in marine-layer depth and onshore flow strength from the Pacific. National Weather Service model runs indicate a typical late-July pattern dominated by the subtropical high, with afternoon temperatures moderated near the 76°F climatological average by cool marine air and possible afternoon cloud buildup. Small differences in wind direction or timing of any thermal trough passage could shift the peak by 1–3°F, keeping the distribution tight while lowering odds for values outside the 72–81°F window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seattle on July 23?
Highest temperature in Seattle on July 23?
76-77°F 27%
78-79°F 25%
74-75°F 21%
80-81°F 11%
BARU
$10,770 Vol.
BARU
$10,770 Vol.
Jul 23, 2026
69°F or below
2%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 27%
78-79°F 25%
74-75°F 21%
80-81°F 11%
BARU
$10,770 Vol.
BARU
$10,770 Vol.
Jul 23, 2026
69°F or below
$381 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$157 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$437 Vol.
10%
74-75°F
$396 Vol.
21%
76-77°F
$4,727 Vol.
27%
78-79°F
$372 Vol.
25%
80-81°F
$843 Vol.
11%
82-83°F
$185 Vol.
4%
84-85°F
$1,055 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$1,326 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$892 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign closely matched probabilities across the 74–79°F bins for Seattle’s July 23 high because ensemble guidance shows modest spread in marine-layer depth and onshore flow strength from the Pacific. National Weather Service model runs indicate a typical late-July pattern dominated by the subtropical high, with afternoon temperatures moderated near the 76°F climatological average by cool marine air and possible afternoon cloud buildup. Small differences in wind direction or timing of any thermal trough passage could shift the peak by 1–3°F, keeping the distribution tight while lowering odds for values outside the 72–81°F window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 21, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$10,770Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 21, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign closely matched probabilities across the 74–79°F bins for Seattle’s July 23 high because ensemble guidance shows modest spread in marine-layer depth and onshore flow strength from the Pacific. National Weather Service model runs indicate a typical late-July pattern dominated by the subtropical high, with afternoon temperatures moderated near the 76°F climatological average by cool marine air and possible afternoon cloud buildup. Small differences in wind direction or timing of any thermal trough passage could shift the peak by 1–3°F, keeping the distribution tight while lowering odds for values outside the 72–81°F window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,770Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 21, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign closely matched probabilities across the 74–79°F bins for Seattle’s July 23 high because ensemble guidance shows modest spread in marine-layer depth and onshore flow strength from the Pacific. National Weather Service model runs indicate a typical late-July pattern dominated by the subtropical high, with afternoon temperatures moderated near the 76°F climatological average by cool marine air and possible afternoon cloud buildup. Small differences in wind direction or timing of any thermal trough passage could shift the peak by 1–3°F, keeping the distribution tight while lowering odds for values outside the 72–81°F window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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