Cloud cover and scattered rainfall tied to the East Asian summer monsoon are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 25–29°C for Seoul’s July 23 maximum. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights persistent clouds and showers that limit solar heating, while ensemble models show modest spread in afternoon instability and timing of any breaks. Typical July climatology places mean highs near 30–31°C, but enhanced moisture and reduced insolation this period favor slightly cooler peaks; outcomes above 30°C require clearer skies and stronger subsidence not currently favored in most runs. Traders weigh the latest model updates and observed trends in regional steering patterns ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul on July 23?
Highest temperature in Seoul on July 23?
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$312,503 Vol.
$312,503 Vol.
Jul 23, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
Yes
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$312,503 Vol.
$312,503 Vol.
Jul 23, 2026
20°C or below
$1,356 Vol.
No
21°C
$356 Vol.
No
22°C
$356 Vol.
No
23°C
$852 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,268 Vol.
No
25°C
$12,455 Vol.
No
26°C
$33,831 Vol.
No
27°C
$42,013 Vol.
No
28°C
$76,243 Vol.
No
29°C
$70,013 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$69,761 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cloud cover and scattered rainfall tied to the East Asian summer monsoon are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 25–29°C for Seoul’s July 23 maximum. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights persistent clouds and showers that limit solar heating, while ensemble models show modest spread in afternoon instability and timing of any breaks. Typical July climatology places mean highs near 30–31°C, but enhanced moisture and reduced insolation this period favor slightly cooler peaks; outcomes above 30°C require clearer skies and stronger subsidence not currently favored in most runs. Traders weigh the latest model updates and observed trends in regional steering patterns ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$312,503Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cloud cover and scattered rainfall tied to the East Asian summer monsoon are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 25–29°C for Seoul’s July 23 maximum. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights persistent clouds and showers that limit solar heating, while ensemble models show modest spread in afternoon instability and timing of any breaks. Typical July climatology places mean highs near 30–31°C, but enhanced moisture and reduced insolation this period favor slightly cooler peaks; outcomes above 30°C require clearer skies and stronger subsidence not currently favored in most runs. Traders weigh the latest model updates and observed trends in regional steering patterns ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$312,503Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Cloud cover and scattered rainfall tied to the East Asian summer monsoon are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 25–29°C for Seoul’s July 23 maximum. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights persistent clouds and showers that limit solar heating, while ensemble models show modest spread in afternoon instability and timing of any breaks. Typical July climatology places mean highs near 30–31°C, but enhanced moisture and reduced insolation this period favor slightly cooler peaks; outcomes above 30°C require clearer skies and stronger subsidence not currently favored in most runs. Traders weigh the latest model updates and observed trends in regional steering patterns ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
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