Latest forecast guidance from Environment Canada and supporting models indicates a daytime high near 25–26°C for Toronto on August 16, 2026, under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with a modest chance of afternoon showers. This narrow range between the top two market outcomes reflects modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, Lake Ontario’s moderating influence on onshore flow, and the precise timing of any convective development that could suppress peak readings. Recent days have featured near-normal August temperatures around 24°C, with no strong warm or cool advection evident in the synoptic pattern. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical mid-August climatology, where highs average near 25°C, producing closely matched implied probabilities while awaiting updated model runs and official observations for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Toronto on August 16?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 16?
26°C 37%
25°C 34%
24°C 13%
27°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
13%
25°C
34%
26°C
37%
27°C
13%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 37%
25°C 34%
24°C 13%
27°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
$88 Vol.
2%
23°C
$365 Vol.
4%
24°C
$550 Vol.
13%
25°C
$178 Vol.
34%
26°C
$155 Vol.
37%
27°C
$673 Vol.
13%
28°C
$303 Vol.
2%
29°C
$374 Vol.
2%
30°C
$138 Vol.
1%
31°C
$191 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,170 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from Environment Canada and supporting models indicates a daytime high near 25–26°C for Toronto on August 16, 2026, under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with a modest chance of afternoon showers. This narrow range between the top two market outcomes reflects modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, Lake Ontario’s moderating influence on onshore flow, and the precise timing of any convective development that could suppress peak readings. Recent days have featured near-normal August temperatures around 24°C, with no strong warm or cool advection evident in the synoptic pattern. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical mid-August climatology, where highs average near 25°C, producing closely matched implied probabilities while awaiting updated model runs and official observations for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$4,186Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from Environment Canada and supporting models indicates a daytime high near 25–26°C for Toronto on August 16, 2026, under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with a modest chance of afternoon showers. This narrow range between the top two market outcomes reflects modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, Lake Ontario’s moderating influence on onshore flow, and the precise timing of any convective development that could suppress peak readings. Recent days have featured near-normal August temperatures around 24°C, with no strong warm or cool advection evident in the synoptic pattern. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical mid-August climatology, where highs average near 25°C, producing closely matched implied probabilities while awaiting updated model runs and official observations for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,186Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from Environment Canada and supporting models indicates a daytime high near 25–26°C for Toronto on August 16, 2026, under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with a modest chance of afternoon showers. This narrow range between the top two market outcomes reflects modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, Lake Ontario’s moderating influence on onshore flow, and the precise timing of any convective development that could suppress peak readings. Recent days have featured near-normal August temperatures around 24°C, with no strong warm or cool advection evident in the synoptic pattern. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical mid-August climatology, where highs average near 25°C, producing closely matched implied probabilities while awaiting updated model runs and official observations for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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