Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and major ensembles places Toronto’s July 5 maximum near 26–27 °C, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. A passing trough and associated cloud cover are expected to limit insolation and produce isolated showers, preventing stronger daytime heating while a moderating southwest flow off Lake Ontario further caps the peak. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because of stable large-scale ridging, yet small timing differences in shower onset or lake-breeze strength could shift the observed high by 1 °C. Updated 00Z and 12Z model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance before the market resolves.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Toronto on July 5?
Highest temperature in Toronto on July 5?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$81,243 Vol.
$81,243 Vol.
Jul 5, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$81,243 Vol.
$81,243 Vol.
Jul 5, 2026
21°C or below
$11,522 Vol.
No
22°C
$10,139 Vol.
No
23°C
$7,493 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,781 Vol.
No
25°C
$16,622 Vol.
No
26°C
$6,597 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$8,162 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,793 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,165 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,619 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$2,349 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and major ensembles places Toronto’s July 5 maximum near 26–27 °C, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. A passing trough and associated cloud cover are expected to limit insolation and produce isolated showers, preventing stronger daytime heating while a moderating southwest flow off Lake Ontario further caps the peak. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because of stable large-scale ridging, yet small timing differences in shower onset or lake-breeze strength could shift the observed high by 1 °C. Updated 00Z and 12Z model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 3, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Volume
$81,243Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 3, 2026, 9:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and major ensembles places Toronto’s July 5 maximum near 26–27 °C, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. A passing trough and associated cloud cover are expected to limit insolation and produce isolated showers, preventing stronger daytime heating while a moderating southwest flow off Lake Ontario further caps the peak. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because of stable large-scale ridging, yet small timing differences in shower onset or lake-breeze strength could shift the observed high by 1 °C. Updated 00Z and 12Z model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$81,243Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 3, 2026, 9:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and major ensembles places Toronto’s July 5 maximum near 26–27 °C, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. A passing trough and associated cloud cover are expected to limit insolation and produce isolated showers, preventing stronger daytime heating while a moderating southwest flow off Lake Ontario further caps the peak. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because of stable large-scale ridging, yet small timing differences in shower onset or lake-breeze strength could shift the observed high by 1 °C. Updated 00Z and 12Z model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance before the market resolves.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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