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Keuangan·Bisnis

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

Market icon
Keuangan·Bisnis

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

Polymarket

$135,155 Vol.

Polymarket

$135,155 Vol.

<40B

$9,568 Vol.

5%

40-50B

$5,310 Vol.

3%

50-60B

$33,062 Vol.

16%

60-70B

$14,044 Vol.

12%

70-80B

$24,208 Vol.

33%

80-90B

$15,462 Vol.

16%

90-100B

$10,080 Vol.

2%

100-110B

$7,478 Vol.

8%

110-120B

$8,448 Vol.

1%

120B+

$7,496 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing. The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered. Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered. If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent confidential S-1 filing for a potential June 2026 IPO has anchored trader consensus around a 70-80 billion dollar raise at 32.5% market-implied probability, aligning with reports of up to $75 billion in fresh capital at a $1.75-2 trillion valuation target, following a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion. Starlink's revenue acceleration and merger synergies with xAI underpin aggressive pricing, trading at 110x multiples akin to AI infrastructure peers, yet skepticism persists—Elon Musk dismissed $2 trillion as unrealistic—fostering wide dispersion with 50-60 billion at 16.5% and higher bins below 10%. Key differentiators include roadshow demand, regulatory approvals for satellite expansion, and equity market risk appetite ahead of pricing.

This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.

The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.

Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.

If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.

If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$135,155
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing. The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered. Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered. If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing. The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered. Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered. If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent confidential S-1 filing for a potential June 2026 IPO has anchored trader consensus around a 70-80 billion dollar raise at 32.5% market-implied probability, aligning with reports of up to $75 billion in fresh capital at a $1.75-2 trillion valuation target, following a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion. Starlink's revenue acceleration and merger synergies with xAI underpin aggressive pricing, trading at 110x multiples akin to AI infrastructure peers, yet skepticism persists—Elon Musk dismissed $2 trillion as unrealistic—fostering wide dispersion with 50-60 billion at 16.5% and higher bins below 10%. Key differentiators include roadshow demand, regulatory approvals for satellite expansion, and equity market risk appetite ahead of pricing.

This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.

The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.

Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.

If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.

If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$135,155
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing. The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered. Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered. If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 10 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "70-80B" di 33%, diikuti oleh "50-60B" di 16%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 33¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 33% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?" telah menghasilkan $135.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Mar 25, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?," jelajahi 10 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?" adalah "70-80B" di 33%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 33% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "50-60B" di 16%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.