Recent opinion polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election project Likud winning 22–27 seats, below its current 32. This positioning reflects sustained voter shifts after the October 2023 Hamas attacks and subsequent multi-front conflicts, alongside criticism of the government's security performance and earlier judicial reform efforts. New opposition lists, including Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar and Naftali Bennett's Together, have drawn support from centrist and right-leaning voters, while coalition partners remain fragmented. Late-July surveys from Lazar, Midgam, and Kantar show the Netanyahu-aligned bloc short of a 61-seat majority, reinforcing trader consensus that Likud faces net seat losses absent a sharp late reversal.
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Oct 27, 2026
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Oct 27, 2026
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent opinion polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election project Likud winning 22–27 seats, below its current 32. This positioning reflects sustained voter shifts after the October 2023 Hamas attacks and subsequent multi-front conflicts, alongside criticism of the government's security performance and earlier judicial reform efforts. New opposition lists, including Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar and Naftali Bennett's Together, have drawn support from centrist and right-leaning voters, while coalition partners remain fragmented. Late-July surveys from Lazar, Midgam, and Kantar show the Netanyahu-aligned bloc short of a 61-seat majority, reinforcing trader consensus that Likud faces net seat losses absent a sharp late reversal.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Volume
$9,281Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent opinion polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election project Likud winning 22–27 seats, below its current 32. This positioning reflects sustained voter shifts after the October 2023 Hamas attacks and subsequent multi-front conflicts, alongside criticism of the government's security performance and earlier judicial reform efforts. New opposition lists, including Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar and Naftali Bennett's Together, have drawn support from centrist and right-leaning voters, while coalition partners remain fragmented. Late-July surveys from Lazar, Midgam, and Kantar show the Netanyahu-aligned bloc short of a 61-seat majority, reinforcing trader consensus that Likud faces net seat losses absent a sharp late reversal.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$9,281Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent opinion polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election project Likud winning 22–27 seats, below its current 32. This positioning reflects sustained voter shifts after the October 2023 Hamas attacks and subsequent multi-front conflicts, alongside criticism of the government's security performance and earlier judicial reform efforts. New opposition lists, including Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar and Naftali Bennett's Together, have drawn support from centrist and right-leaning voters, while coalition partners remain fragmented. Late-July surveys from Lazar, Midgam, and Kantar show the Netanyahu-aligned bloc short of a 61-seat majority, reinforcing trader consensus that Likud faces net seat losses absent a sharp late reversal.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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