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AS Iran prediksi & peluang

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Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

69%

Switzerland

$12M Vol.

$929K today

$901K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

US-Iran deal text released by...?

US-Iran deal text released by...?

95%

June 30

$117K Vol.

$117K today

$114K Liq.

6

Ends in 14 days

Who will attend US-Iran signing ceremony?

Who will attend US-Iran signing ceremony?

80%

JD Vance

$558 Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

US-Iran deal physically signed by...?

US-Iran deal physically signed by...?

68%

June 30

$6 Vol.

$325 Liq.

Ends in 14 days

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

100%

August 31

$359M Vol.

$15M today

$6M Liq.

10,574

Ends in 7 months

US and Iran sign an agreement by...?

US and Iran sign an agreement by...?

100%

June 15

$9M Vol.

$6M today

$3M Liq.

244

Ends in about 2 months

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

98%

July 31

$50M Vol.

$1M today

$476K Liq.

6

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

4%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$258K today

$342K Liq.

94

Ends in 14 days

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

72%

Steve Witkoff

$2M Vol.

$76.6K today

$119K Liq.

84

Ends in 13 days

US lifts Iran OFAC sanctions by...?

US lifts Iran OFAC sanctions by...?

77%

June 15

$17.9K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

49%

$0 Vol.

$152 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Which countries will sign the US x Iran deal by June 30?

Which countries will sign the US x Iran deal by June 30?

43%

Syria

$0 Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

<1%

June 13

$60M Vol.

$3M today

$888K Liq.

1,082

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

6%

December 31

$8M Vol.

$63.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

12%

$151K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

5%

$609K Vol.

$35.2K Liq.

25

Ends in 7 months

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

14%

December 31

$27M Vol.

$104K today

$428K Liq.

202

Ends in 7 months

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

13%

$38M Vol.

$123K today

$465K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Will Trump shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?

Will Trump shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?

14%

$228 Vol.

$267 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

99%

$1M Vol.

$108K Liq.

72

Ends in 13 days

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

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Setiap polymarket adalah pertanyaan ya/tidak, seperti "Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?". Kamu membeli share untuk hasil "ya" atau "tidak". Harga mencerminkan peluang dan probabilitas dari kerumunan. Misalnya, jika ya di harga 30 sen, itu berarti peluang 30%. Market diselesaikan berdasarkan hasil resmi. Untuk event multi-hasil, seperti "US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?," kamu cukup trading pada hasil spesifik yang menurutmu akan menang.

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Ini memotong kebisingan informasi. Berbeda dengan jajak pendapat atau pundit, Polymarket menunjukkan peluang real-time pada prediksi AS Iran yang didukung oleh keyakinan finansial yang seringkali lebih cepat dan lebih akurat daripada pakar atau survei. Kamu mendapat pandangan yang tidak bias tentang apa yang ribuan trader pikir akan benar-benar terjadi, seringkali lebih akurat daripada jajak pendapat. Ditambah lagi, kamu bisa trading share dan berpotensi untung jika prediksimu tepat.