Recent European model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to clear skies and light northerly flow over Paris, enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling and minimum temperatures likely settling between 12–15°C on July 20. This range underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds near 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in cloud timing and urban heat-island effects against typical mid-July baselines of 15–16°C. Warmer residual air from the early-month heatwave has moderated, yet any increase in low-level moisture or wind could limit the drop below 14°C. Final model runs and official observations through the night of July 19–20 will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on July 20?
Lowest temperature in Paris on July 20?
12°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
13°C <1%
$22,466 Vol.
$22,466 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
13°C <1%
$22,466 Vol.
$22,466 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
10°C or below
$1,401 Vol.
No
11°C
$1,577 Vol.
No
12°C
$2,276 Vol.
Yes
13°C
$11,449 Vol.
No
14°C
$918 Vol.
No
15°C
$478 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,027 Vol.
No
17°C
$886 Vol.
No
18°C
$522 Vol.
No
19°C
$527 Vol.
No
20°C or higher
$1,405 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to clear skies and light northerly flow over Paris, enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling and minimum temperatures likely settling between 12–15°C on July 20. This range underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds near 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in cloud timing and urban heat-island effects against typical mid-July baselines of 15–16°C. Warmer residual air from the early-month heatwave has moderated, yet any increase in low-level moisture or wind could limit the drop below 14°C. Final model runs and official observations through the night of July 19–20 will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$22,466Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to clear skies and light northerly flow over Paris, enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling and minimum temperatures likely settling between 12–15°C on July 20. This range underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds near 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in cloud timing and urban heat-island effects against typical mid-July baselines of 15–16°C. Warmer residual air from the early-month heatwave has moderated, yet any increase in low-level moisture or wind could limit the drop below 14°C. Final model runs and official observations through the night of July 19–20 will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,466Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent European model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to clear skies and light northerly flow over Paris, enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling and minimum temperatures likely settling between 12–15°C on July 20. This range underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds near 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in cloud timing and urban heat-island effects against typical mid-July baselines of 15–16°C. Warmer residual air from the early-month heatwave has moderated, yet any increase in low-level moisture or wind could limit the drop below 14°C. Final model runs and official observations through the night of July 19–20 will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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