Recent relief from an intense early heatwave across northern France, with Paris highs near 40°C midweek easing to around 35°C by June 28 amid Météo-France-noted thunderstorms, has shifted model guidance toward cooler overnight conditions by June 30. Ensemble forecasts emphasize increased cloud cover, potential showers, and reduced daytime heating that limit radiative warming, supporting minimum temperatures at or below 14°C as the dominant trader consensus. Historical late-June Paris lows average near 12–15°C, but the post-heatwave transition amplifies short-term variability in boundary-layer cooling. Updated runs from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on June 30?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 30?
15°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$36,563 Vol.
$36,563 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$36,563 Vol.
$36,563 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
14°C or below
$2,472 Vol.
No
15°C
$3,707 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$4,272 Vol.
No
17°C
$5,305 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,343 Vol.
No
19°C
$5,201 Vol.
No
20°C
$6,880 Vol.
No
21°C
$4,610 Vol.
No
22°C
$867 Vol.
No
23°C
$942 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$963 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent relief from an intense early heatwave across northern France, with Paris highs near 40°C midweek easing to around 35°C by June 28 amid Météo-France-noted thunderstorms, has shifted model guidance toward cooler overnight conditions by June 30. Ensemble forecasts emphasize increased cloud cover, potential showers, and reduced daytime heating that limit radiative warming, supporting minimum temperatures at or below 14°C as the dominant trader consensus. Historical late-June Paris lows average near 12–15°C, but the post-heatwave transition amplifies short-term variability in boundary-layer cooling. Updated runs from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$36,563Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent relief from an intense early heatwave across northern France, with Paris highs near 40°C midweek easing to around 35°C by June 28 amid Météo-France-noted thunderstorms, has shifted model guidance toward cooler overnight conditions by June 30. Ensemble forecasts emphasize increased cloud cover, potential showers, and reduced daytime heating that limit radiative warming, supporting minimum temperatures at or below 14°C as the dominant trader consensus. Historical late-June Paris lows average near 12–15°C, but the post-heatwave transition amplifies short-term variability in boundary-layer cooling. Updated runs from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,563Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent relief from an intense early heatwave across northern France, with Paris highs near 40°C midweek easing to around 35°C by June 28 amid Météo-France-noted thunderstorms, has shifted model guidance toward cooler overnight conditions by June 30. Ensemble forecasts emphasize increased cloud cover, potential showers, and reduced daytime heating that limit radiative warming, supporting minimum temperatures at or below 14°C as the dominant trader consensus. Historical late-June Paris lows average near 12–15°C, but the post-heatwave transition amplifies short-term variability in boundary-layer cooling. Updated runs from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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