Trader consensus clusters around 20–23°C for Shanghai’s June 24 minimum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from regional models that show persistent cloud cover and light rain associated with the meiyu front. These conditions limit daytime heating while suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal 21–22°C climatological average. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. No strong high-pressure ridging or clear-sky advection is indicated in the 48-hour window, supporting the narrow probability distribution and low odds for extremes below 19°C or above 24°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 24?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 24?
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$31,780 Vol.
$31,780 Vol.
Jun 24, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$31,780 Vol.
$31,780 Vol.
Jun 24, 2026
18°C or below
$862 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,149 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,528 Vol.
No
21°C
$4,315 Vol.
No
22°C
$11,105 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$3,972 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,068 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,040 Vol.
No
26°C
$497 Vol.
No
27°C
$481 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$763 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 20–23°C for Shanghai’s June 24 minimum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from regional models that show persistent cloud cover and light rain associated with the meiyu front. These conditions limit daytime heating while suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal 21–22°C climatological average. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. No strong high-pressure ridging or clear-sky advection is indicated in the 48-hour window, supporting the narrow probability distribution and low odds for extremes below 19°C or above 24°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$31,780Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 20–23°C for Shanghai’s June 24 minimum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from regional models that show persistent cloud cover and light rain associated with the meiyu front. These conditions limit daytime heating while suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal 21–22°C climatological average. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. No strong high-pressure ridging or clear-sky advection is indicated in the 48-hour window, supporting the narrow probability distribution and low odds for extremes below 19°C or above 24°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,780Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Trader consensus clusters around 20–23°C for Shanghai’s June 24 minimum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from regional models that show persistent cloud cover and light rain associated with the meiyu front. These conditions limit daytime heating while suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal 21–22°C climatological average. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. No strong high-pressure ridging or clear-sky advection is indicated in the 48-hour window, supporting the narrow probability distribution and low odds for extremes below 19°C or above 24°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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