North Dakota's at-large congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean rooted in the state's consistent partisan voting patterns in federal races and limited Democratic organizational presence. Traders assign the Republican Party a 93.3% implied probability because no competitive Democratic challenger has emerged to shift the baseline, and historical margins in the single House seat have favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. With the November 2026 election still months away, scheduled primaries and candidate filings remain the primary near-term variables that could influence positioning. A national political shift, major scandal involving the leading nominee, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such reversals uncommon in this district.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiND-AL House Election Winner
ND-AL House Election Winner
$41,954 Vol.
$41,954 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
3%
$41,954 Vol.
$41,954 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$25,198 Vol.
93%
Democratic Party
$16,756 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota's at-large congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean rooted in the state's consistent partisan voting patterns in federal races and limited Democratic organizational presence. Traders assign the Republican Party a 93.3% implied probability because no competitive Democratic challenger has emerged to shift the baseline, and historical margins in the single House seat have favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. With the November 2026 election still months away, scheduled primaries and candidate filings remain the primary near-term variables that could influence positioning. A national political shift, major scandal involving the leading nominee, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such reversals uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$41,954Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota's at-large congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean rooted in the state's consistent partisan voting patterns in federal races and limited Democratic organizational presence. Traders assign the Republican Party a 93.3% implied probability because no competitive Democratic challenger has emerged to shift the baseline, and historical margins in the single House seat have favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. With the November 2026 election still months away, scheduled primaries and candidate filings remain the primary near-term variables that could influence positioning. A national political shift, major scandal involving the leading nominee, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such reversals uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$41,954Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Dakota's at-large congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean rooted in the state's consistent partisan voting patterns in federal races and limited Democratic organizational presence. Traders assign the Republican Party a 93.3% implied probability because no competitive Democratic challenger has emerged to shift the baseline, and historical margins in the single House seat have favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. With the November 2026 election still months away, scheduled primaries and candidate filings remain the primary near-term variables that could influence positioning. A national political shift, major scandal involving the leading nominee, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such reversals uncommon in this district.
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