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icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Jack Lowden 27.9%

No Bond chosen 25.2%

Callum Turner 16%

Jacob Elordi 6.6%

Polymarket

$138,614 Vol.

Jack Lowden 27.9%

No Bond chosen 25.2%

Callum Turner 16%

Jacob Elordi 6.6%

Polymarket

$138,614 Vol.

Jack Lowden

$23,846 Vol.

28%

No Bond chosen

$46,007 Vol.

25%

Callum Turner

$32,409 Vol.

16%

Jacob Elordi

$4,185 Vol.

7%

James Norton

$1,572 Vol.

6%

Theo James

$6,008 Vol.

5%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$5,471 Vol.

5%

Henry Cavill

$1,821 Vol.

3%

Michael B Jordan

$1,178 Vol.

2%

Tom Holland

$1,819 Vol.

2%

Harris Dickinson

$1,804 Vol.

2%

Robert James-Collier

$1,153 Vol.

1%

Josh O'Connor

$2,818 Vol.

1%

Tom Hardy

$3,579 Vol.

1%

Paul Mescal

$1,417 Vol.

1%

Pierce Brosnan

$2,443 Vol.

1%

Timothee Chalamet

$1,081 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The active casting process for the next James Bond, led by director Denis Villeneuve and casting director Nina Gold, with auditions underway and a possible announcement targeted for late 2026, underpins the tight market. Jack Lowden’s 27.9% lead reflects recent momentum from industry commentary highlighting his Scottish background, physical presence, and Craig-like intensity, while the 25.2% on “no choice yet” captures the early stage and lack of official confirmation. Callum Turner’s 15.5% share draws from prior frontrunner status and endorsements, with the rest of the field—Jacob Elordi, Harris Dickinson, and others—trading lower amid questions over age, nationality, long-term commitment, and star availability. Traders weigh British preference, prototype fit, and historical voting patterns for a multi-film tenure.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$138,614
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The active casting process for the next James Bond, led by director Denis Villeneuve and casting director Nina Gold, with auditions underway and a possible announcement targeted for late 2026, underpins the tight market. Jack Lowden’s 27.9% lead reflects recent momentum from industry commentary highlighting his Scottish background, physical presence, and Craig-like intensity, while the 25.2% on “no choice yet” captures the early stage and lack of official confirmation. Callum Turner’s 15.5% share draws from prior frontrunner status and endorsements, with the rest of the field—Jacob Elordi, Harris Dickinson, and others—trading lower amid questions over age, nationality, long-term commitment, and star availability. Traders weigh British preference, prototype fit, and historical voting patterns for a multi-film tenure.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$138,614
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next James Bond actor?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 17 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Jack Lowden" di 28%, diikuti oleh "No Bond chosen" di 25%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 28¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 28% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next James Bond actor?" telah menghasilkan $138.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 18, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next James Bond actor?," jelajahi 17 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next James Bond actor?" adalah "Jack Lowden" di 28%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 28% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "No Bond chosen" di 25%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next James Bond actor?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.