Dune: Part Three holds the market lead at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting trader emphasis on the franchise’s established visual effects track record and expected scale. With most other titles clustered near 50%, the field remains wide open this early in the cycle, underscoring limited precursor data and the speculative nature of 2026 releases. Lower odds on Project Hail Mary, The Odyssey, and Avengers: Doomsday highlight perceived gaps in confirmed VFX scope or historical category momentum compared with the Dune series. Key swing factors include upcoming guild nominations, critical reception of effects work, and late-year release performance, all of which could quickly shift sentiment ahead of the 2027 ceremony.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiOscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner
Dune: Part Three 55%
Project Hail Mary 26%
The Odyssey 11%
Godzilla Minus Zero 10.1%
$19,725 Vol.
$19,725 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Dune: Part Three
55%
Project Hail Mary
26%
The Odyssey
11%
Godzilla Minus Zero
10%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
4%
Avengers: Doomsday
3%
Dune: Part Three 55%
Project Hail Mary 26%
The Odyssey 11%
Godzilla Minus Zero 10.1%
$19,725 Vol.
$19,725 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Dune: Part Three
$16,430 Vol.
55%
Project Hail Mary
$1,630 Vol.
26%
The Odyssey
$470 Vol.
11%
Godzilla Minus Zero
$490 Vol.
10%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$282 Vol.
4%
Avengers: Doomsday
$423 Vol.
3%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Dune: Part Three holds the market lead at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting trader emphasis on the franchise’s established visual effects track record and expected scale. With most other titles clustered near 50%, the field remains wide open this early in the cycle, underscoring limited precursor data and the speculative nature of 2026 releases. Lower odds on Project Hail Mary, The Odyssey, and Avengers: Doomsday highlight perceived gaps in confirmed VFX scope or historical category momentum compared with the Dune series. Key swing factors include upcoming guild nominations, critical reception of effects work, and late-year release performance, all of which could quickly shift sentiment ahead of the 2027 ceremony.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$19,725Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Dune: Part Three holds the market lead at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting trader emphasis on the franchise’s established visual effects track record and expected scale. With most other titles clustered near 50%, the field remains wide open this early in the cycle, underscoring limited precursor data and the speculative nature of 2026 releases. Lower odds on Project Hail Mary, The Odyssey, and Avengers: Doomsday highlight perceived gaps in confirmed VFX scope or historical category momentum compared with the Dune series. Key swing factors include upcoming guild nominations, critical reception of effects work, and late-year release performance, all of which could quickly shift sentiment ahead of the 2027 ceremony.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$19,725Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...Dune: Part Three holds the market lead at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting trader emphasis on the franchise’s established visual effects track record and expected scale. With most other titles clustered near 50%, the field remains wide open this early in the cycle, underscoring limited precursor data and the speculative nature of 2026 releases. Lower odds on Project Hail Mary, The Odyssey, and Avengers: Doomsday highlight perceived gaps in confirmed VFX scope or historical category momentum compared with the Dune series. Key swing factors include upcoming guild nominations, critical reception of effects work, and late-year release performance, all of which could quickly shift sentiment ahead of the 2027 ceremony.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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