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icon for Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner

icon for Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner

John Malkovich 31.6%

Matt Damon 27%

Andrew Scott 18%

Tom Cruise 14%

Polymarket

$117,480 Vol.

John Malkovich 31.6%

Matt Damon 27%

Andrew Scott 18%

Tom Cruise 14%

Polymarket

$117,480 Vol.

icon for John Malkovich

John Malkovich

$8,856 Vol.

32%

icon for Matt Damon

Matt Damon

$34,097 Vol.

27%

icon for Andrew Scott

Andrew Scott

$12,225 Vol.

18%

icon for Tom Cruise

Tom Cruise

$11,178 Vol.

14%

icon for Robert Pattinson

Robert Pattinson

$4,364 Vol.

9%

icon for Jeremy Strong

Jeremy Strong

$4,039 Vol.

3%

icon for Sebastian Stan

Sebastian Stan

$2,765 Vol.

2%

icon for Ryan Gosling

Ryan Gosling

$4,778 Vol.

2%

icon for Timothée Chalamet

Timothée Chalamet

$3,693 Vol.

1%

icon for Jaafar Jackson

Jaafar Jackson

$4,211 Vol.

1%

icon for Sam Rockwell

Sam Rockwell

$4,572 Vol.

1%

icon for Pedro Pascal

Pedro Pascal

$3,076 Vol.

<1%

icon for Javier Bardem

Javier Bardem

$2,900 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adam Driver

Adam Driver

$2,373 Vol.

<1%

icon for Brad Pitt

Brad Pitt

$8,112 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert Aramayo

Robert Aramayo

$3,115 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Turturro

John Turturro

$1,587 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$1,537 Vol.

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 Oscars Best Actor market remains highly fragmented this early in the 2026 film cycle, with John Malkovich holding the highest implied probability at 31.7% amid a broad field of contenders. Traders see limited momentum for any single performer because major fall releases, festival premieres, and guild precursors have yet to establish clear frontrunners or narrative arcs. Matt Damon at 26.5% and Andrew Scott at 17.5% reflect name recognition and pending projects, while lower odds for stars like Tom Cruise and Timothée Chalamet highlight the need for strong reviews, box-office results, or SAG-AFTRA and PGA support to consolidate support. Upcoming catalysts such as late-2026 festival debuts and year-end critic awards will likely sharpen the race.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$117,480
Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 14, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 Oscars Best Actor market remains highly fragmented this early in the 2026 film cycle, with John Malkovich holding the highest implied probability at 31.7% amid a broad field of contenders. Traders see limited momentum for any single performer because major fall releases, festival premieres, and guild precursors have yet to establish clear frontrunners or narrative arcs. Matt Damon at 26.5% and Andrew Scott at 17.5% reflect name recognition and pending projects, while lower odds for stars like Tom Cruise and Timothée Chalamet highlight the need for strong reviews, box-office results, or SAG-AFTRA and PGA support to consolidate support. Upcoming catalysts such as late-2026 festival debuts and year-end critic awards will likely sharpen the race.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$117,480
Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 14, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 18 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "John Malkovich" di 32%, diikuti oleh "Matt Damon" di 27%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 32¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 32% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner" telah menghasilkan $117.5K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 28, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner," jelajahi 18 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner" adalah "John Malkovich" di 32%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 32% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Matt Damon" di 27%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.