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icon for Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026
Politik·Penghargaan

Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026

icon for Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026
Politik·Penghargaan

Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms 8.8%

Yulia Navalnaya 8%

Save the Children 6.6%

UNRWA 4.8%

Polymarket

$24,151,598 Vol.

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms 8.8%

Yulia Navalnaya 8%

Save the Children 6.6%

UNRWA 4.8%

Polymarket

$24,151,598 Vol.

icon for Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$10,330 Vol.

9%

icon for Yulia Navalnaya

Yulia Navalnaya

$298,538 Vol.

8%

icon for Save the Children

Save the Children

$7,106 Vol.

7%

icon for UNRWA

UNRWA

$2,053,886 Vol.

5%

icon for Mahkamah Internasional

Mahkamah Internasional

$915,438 Vol.

5%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$4,778,154 Vol.

3%

icon for Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$789,928 Vol.

2%

icon for Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$824,015 Vol.

2%

icon for Sara Al-Saqqa

Sara Al-Saqqa

$3,742 Vol.

2%

icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$1,274,629 Vol.

1%

icon for Narendra Modi

Narendra Modi

$688,671 Vol.

1%

icon for ICRC

ICRC

$3,470 Vol.

1%

icon for World Central Kitchen

World Central Kitchen

$3,294 Vol.

1%

icon for Greta Thunberg

Greta Thunberg

$1,474,075 Vol.

1%

icon for Chow Hang-tung

Chow Hang-tung

$3,006 Vol.

1%

icon for Committee to Protect Journalists

Committee to Protect Journalists

$3,433 Vol.

1%

icon for Paus Leo XIV

Paus Leo XIV

$821,822 Vol.

1%

icon for António Guterres

António Guterres

$641,652 Vol.

1%

icon for Reporters Without Borders

Reporters Without Borders

$2,595 Vol.

1%

icon for Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

$2,335 Vol.

1%

icon for Julian Assange

Julian Assange

$857,022 Vol.

<1%

icon for Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping

$1,436,062 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hussam Abu Safiya

Hussam Abu Safiya

$4,198 Vol.

<1%

icon for UNHCR

UNHCR

$3,696 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$1,195,877 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Putin

Vladimir Putin

$922,405 Vol.

<1%

icon for Khaled Mashal

Khaled Mashal

$880,632 Vol.

<1%

icon for Benjamin Netanyahu

Benjamin Netanyahu

$711,220 Vol.

<1%

icon for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$1,067,802 Vol.

<1%

icon for Charlie Kirk

Charlie Kirk

$1,279,698 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mohammed bin Salman

Mohammed bin Salman

$1,192,868 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms lead trader sentiment at 8.8% implied probability after securing the recent Rafto human rights prize for their grassroots aid networks delivering food, medicine, and services amid Sudan’s civil war, echoing past Nobel patterns that reward community-driven humanitarian efforts. A crowded field keeps odds fragmented, with Yulia Navalnaya at 7.5% building on her late husband’s legacy through opposition activism, Save the Children at 6.6% highlighting child protection in conflicts, and lower probabilities for institutions like UNRWA and the ICJ reflecting the committee’s history of surprising choices over predictable frontrunners. The October 9 announcement date and lack of clear precursors beyond individual nominations sustain the competitive uncertainty.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$24,151,598
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 10, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms lead trader sentiment at 8.8% implied probability after securing the recent Rafto human rights prize for their grassroots aid networks delivering food, medicine, and services amid Sudan’s civil war, echoing past Nobel patterns that reward community-driven humanitarian efforts. A crowded field keeps odds fragmented, with Yulia Navalnaya at 7.5% building on her late husband’s legacy through opposition activism, Save the Children at 6.6% highlighting child protection in conflicts, and lower probabilities for institutions like UNRWA and the ICJ reflecting the committee’s history of surprising choices over predictable frontrunners. The October 9 announcement date and lack of clear precursors beyond individual nominations sustain the competitive uncertainty.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$24,151,598
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 10, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 31 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms" di 9%, diikuti oleh "Yulia Navalnaya" di 8%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 9¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 9% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026" telah menghasilkan $24.2 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Oct 16, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026," jelajahi 31 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Ini adalah pasar yang sangat terbuka. Pemimpin saat ini untuk "Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026" adalah "Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms" di hanya 9%, dengan "Yulia Navalnaya" mengejar ketat di 8%. Tanpa hasil yang menguasai mayoritas kuat, trader melihat ini sebagai sangat tidak pasti, yang bisa menghadirkan peluang trading unik. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time, jadi tandai halaman ini untuk menyaksikan bagaimana probabilitas berkembang.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.