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Politik·Penghargaan

Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026

icon for Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026
Politik·Penghargaan

Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026

Yulia Navalnaya 10%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 7.0%

UNRWA 4.7%

Paus Leo XIV 3.5%

Polymarket

$23,096,562 Vol.

Yulia Navalnaya 10%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 7.0%

UNRWA 4.7%

Paus Leo XIV 3.5%

Polymarket

$23,096,562 Vol.

icon for Yulia Navalnaya

Yulia Navalnaya

$282,422 Vol.

10%

icon for Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$770,115 Vol.

7%

icon for UNRWA

UNRWA

$2,036,780 Vol.

5%

icon for Paus Leo XIV

Paus Leo XIV

$803,863 Vol.

3%

icon for Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$774,925 Vol.

3%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$4,202,070 Vol.

3%

icon for Mahkamah Internasional

Mahkamah Internasional

$891,980 Vol.

2%

icon for Julian Assange

Julian Assange

$849,049 Vol.

1%

icon for Narendra Modi

Narendra Modi

$680,669 Vol.

1%

icon for Greta Thunberg

Greta Thunberg

$1,450,302 Vol.

1%

icon for António Guterres

António Guterres

$616,342 Vol.

1%

icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$1,255,537 Vol.

1%

icon for Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping

$1,432,060 Vol.

1%

icon for Mohammed bin Salman

Mohammed bin Salman

$1,161,597 Vol.

1%

icon for Khaled Mashal

Khaled Mashal

$864,786 Vol.

1%

icon for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$1,049,650 Vol.

1%

icon for Charlie Kirk

Charlie Kirk

$1,242,942 Vol.

1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$1,157,908 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Putin

Vladimir Putin

$894,702 Vol.

<1%

icon for Benjamin Netanyahu

Benjamin Netanyahu

$678,863 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Yulia Navalnaya holds a narrow edge in the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize market at 9.5% implied probability, driven by her continued visibility as a Russian opposition figure following Alexei Navalny’s death, which has sustained trader interest amid limited early frontrunners. The field remains tightly bunched below 10%, reflecting the award’s inherent unpredictability and the sealed nomination process that favors no single candidate this far out. Zelenskyy trails at 7% on his wartime leadership profile, while organizations such as UNRWA and the International Court of Justice sit lower due to geopolitical sensitivities. Upcoming developments like major peace initiatives or high-profile advocacy could quickly shift sentiment before October’s announcement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$23,096,562
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 10, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Yulia Navalnaya holds a narrow edge in the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize market at 9.5% implied probability, driven by her continued visibility as a Russian opposition figure following Alexei Navalny’s death, which has sustained trader interest amid limited early frontrunners. The field remains tightly bunched below 10%, reflecting the award’s inherent unpredictability and the sealed nomination process that favors no single candidate this far out. Zelenskyy trails at 7% on his wartime leadership profile, while organizations such as UNRWA and the International Court of Justice sit lower due to geopolitical sensitivities. Upcoming developments like major peace initiatives or high-profile advocacy could quickly shift sentiment before October’s announcement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$23,096,562
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 10, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Terkait

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Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

9%
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Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?

9%
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Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?

13%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 20 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Yulia Navalnaya" di 10%, diikuti oleh "Volodymyr Zelenskyy" di 7%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 10¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 10% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026" telah menghasilkan $23.1 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Oct 16, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026," jelajahi 20 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026" adalah "Yulia Navalnaya" di 10%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 10% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Volodymyr Zelenskyy" di 7%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.