Incumbent Republican Andrew Harris holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 1st congressional district, a solidly Republican seat on the Eastern Shore that forecasters rate as Safe or Solid Republican. Harris secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. A July 2026 poll showed him leading Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz 52 percent to 39 percent. The district’s partisan composition, Harris’s long tenure since 2011, and limited competitive history reinforce trader consensus reflected in the 93.5 percent Republican probability. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health development, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMD-01 House Election Winner
MD-01 House Election Winner
$58,550 Vol.
$58,550 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$58,550 Vol.
$58,550 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$33,535 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$25,015 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andrew Harris holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 1st congressional district, a solidly Republican seat on the Eastern Shore that forecasters rate as Safe or Solid Republican. Harris secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. A July 2026 poll showed him leading Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz 52 percent to 39 percent. The district’s partisan composition, Harris’s long tenure since 2011, and limited competitive history reinforce trader consensus reflected in the 93.5 percent Republican probability. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health development, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$58,550Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andrew Harris holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 1st congressional district, a solidly Republican seat on the Eastern Shore that forecasters rate as Safe or Solid Republican. Harris secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. A July 2026 poll showed him leading Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz 52 percent to 39 percent. The district’s partisan composition, Harris’s long tenure since 2011, and limited competitive history reinforce trader consensus reflected in the 93.5 percent Republican probability. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health development, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$58,550Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Andrew Harris holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 1st congressional district, a solidly Republican seat on the Eastern Shore that forecasters rate as Safe or Solid Republican. Harris secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. A July 2026 poll showed him leading Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz 52 percent to 39 percent. The district’s partisan composition, Harris’s long tenure since 2011, and limited competitive history reinforce trader consensus reflected in the 93.5 percent Republican probability. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health development, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
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