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Pemilihan Umum·Primer

NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Pemilihan Umum·Primer

NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Stefany Shaheen 56%

Maura Sullivan 30%

Carleigh Beriont 11%

Heath Howard 7.7%

Polymarket

$12,549 Vol.

Stefany Shaheen 56%

Maura Sullivan 30%

Carleigh Beriont 11%

Heath Howard 7.7%

Polymarket

$12,549 Vol.

Stefany Shaheen

$7,650 Vol.

56%

Maura Sullivan

$3,216 Vol.

30%

Carleigh Beriont

$1,333 Vol.

11%

Heath Howard

$350 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Stefany Shaheen at 52.5% to win the New Hampshire 1st District Democratic primary on September 8, driven by her consistent polling lead—33% in the January University of New Hampshire survey—and strong name recognition as Senator Jeanne Shaheen's daughter, alongside local endorsements like Portsmouth's mayor. Maura Sullivan trails at 29.5%, bolstered by dominant first-quarter 2026 fundraising with $2.6 million raised and $1.48 million cash on hand through March 31, outpacing Shaheen's $1.8 million. Carleigh Beriont (10.5%) and Heath Howard (7.7%) gain from recent visibility at the April 9 candidate forum, which frontrunner Shaheen skipped, highlighting progressive priorities amid high undecideds (39% in latest poll). Upcoming debates could shift dynamics in this competitive field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,549
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Stefany Shaheen at 52.5% to win the New Hampshire 1st District Democratic primary on September 8, driven by her consistent polling lead—33% in the January University of New Hampshire survey—and strong name recognition as Senator Jeanne Shaheen's daughter, alongside local endorsements like Portsmouth's mayor. Maura Sullivan trails at 29.5%, bolstered by dominant first-quarter 2026 fundraising with $2.6 million raised and $1.48 million cash on hand through March 31, outpacing Shaheen's $1.8 million. Carleigh Beriont (10.5%) and Heath Howard (7.7%) gain from recent visibility at the April 9 candidate forum, which frontrunner Shaheen skipped, highlighting progressive priorities amid high undecideds (39% in latest poll). Upcoming debates could shift dynamics in this competitive field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,549
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Stefany Shaheen" di 56%, diikuti oleh "Maura Sullivan" di 30%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 56¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 56% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $12.5K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 25, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Stefany Shaheen" di 56%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 56% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Maura Sullivan" di 30%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.