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icon for Calon Presiden Demokratik 2028
Pemilihan Umum·Amerika Serikat

Calon Presiden Demokratik 2028

icon for Calon Presiden Demokratik 2028
Pemilihan Umum·Amerika Serikat

Calon Presiden Demokratik 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17.5%

Jon Ossoff 16.2%

Gavin Newsom 13.9%

Kamala Harris 7.8%

Polymarket

$1,276,823,372 Vol.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17.5%

Jon Ossoff 16.2%

Gavin Newsom 13.9%

Kamala Harris 7.8%

Polymarket

$1,276,823,372 Vol.

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$15,145,912 Vol.

18%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$12,884,366 Vol.

16%

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$27,234,181 Vol.

14%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$13,192,690 Vol.

8%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$9,879,706 Vol.

6%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$11,987,781 Vol.

6%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$17,550,312 Vol.

3%

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$13,156,105 Vol.

3%

icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$14,548,174 Vol.

3%

icon for James Talarico

James Talarico

$10,639,129 Vol.

2%

icon for Ro Khanna

Ro Khanna

$11,266,275 Vol.

2%

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$18,419,037 Vol.

2%

icon for J.B. Pritzker

J.B. Pritzker

$15,646,838 Vol.

1%

icon for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$12,505,733 Vol.

1%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$26,281,367 Vol.

1%

icon for Chelsea Clinton

Chelsea Clinton

$50,431,717 Vol.

1%

icon for Raphael Warnock

Raphael Warnock

$32,183,853 Vol.

1%

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$12,044,977 Vol.

1%

icon for Hunter Biden

Hunter Biden

$44,389,493 Vol.

1%

icon for Chris Murphy

Chris Murphy

$17,267,564 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders

$52,737,310 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jasmine Crockett

Jasmine Crockett

$36,462,328 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michelle Obama

Michelle Obama

$26,243,075 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$38,929,610 Vol.

<1%

icon for Barack Obama

Barack Obama

$34,032,623 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elissa Slotkin

Elissa Slotkin

$1,180,801 Vol.

<1%

icon for Stephen A. Smith

Stephen A. Smith

$23,008,704 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mark Cuban

Mark Cuban

$22,929,445 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gina Raimondo

Gina Raimondo

$35,767,853 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roy Cooper

Roy Cooper

$31,515,683 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jared Polis

Jared Polis

$27,347,361 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jon Stewart

Jon Stewart

$24,723,036 Vol.

<1%

icon for Andrew Yang

Andrew Yang

$48,730,721 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ruben Gallego

Ruben Gallego

$8,428,401 Vol.

<1%

icon for Abigail Spanberger

Abigail Spanberger

$3,081,077 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh Stein

Josh Stein

$2,376,109 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$43,351,809 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Fetterman

John Fetterman

$25,593,967 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton

$43,821,967 Vol.

<1%

icon for Liz Cheney

Liz Cheney

$38,478,137 Vol.

<1%

icon for Phil Murphy

Phil Murphy

$42,389,324 Vol.

<1%

icon for LeBron James

LeBron James

$43,965,868 Vol.

<1%

icon for George Clooney

George Clooney

$43,405,987 Vol.

<1%

icon for MrBeast

MrBeast

$40,994,348 Vol.

<1%

icon for Oprah Winfrey

Oprah Winfrey

$54,387,865 Vol.

<1%

icon for Beto O’Rourke

Beto O’Rourke

$42,810,594 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$42,861,291 Vol.

<1%

icon for Graham Platner

Graham Platner

$8,523,118 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hakeem Jeffries

Hakeem Jeffries

$803,509 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adam Schiff

Adam Schiff

$489,630 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alex Padilla

Alex Padilla

$796,614 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The 2028 Democratic presidential nomination remains highly competitive in prediction markets, with no candidate exceeding 18% implied probability amid a wide-open field following the 2024 cycle. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez holds a narrow lead on trader volume due to her progressive base mobilization and consistent visibility, while Jon Ossoff benefits from strong midterm positioning in Georgia that has elevated his profile among party strategists. Gavin Newsom draws support from his California executive record and national media presence, though polling aggregates continue to favor Kamala Harris on name recognition alone. Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, and other governors and senators trail as potential alternatives in a race shaped by ideological balance, donor networks, and early primary-state outreach. Late developments such as Senate outcomes or formal announcements could consolidate support before the convention.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,276,823,372
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 7, 2028
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The 2028 Democratic presidential nomination remains highly competitive in prediction markets, with no candidate exceeding 18% implied probability amid a wide-open field following the 2024 cycle. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez holds a narrow lead on trader volume due to her progressive base mobilization and consistent visibility, while Jon Ossoff benefits from strong midterm positioning in Georgia that has elevated his profile among party strategists. Gavin Newsom draws support from his California executive record and national media presence, though polling aggregates continue to favor Kamala Harris on name recognition alone. Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, and other governors and senators trail as potential alternatives in a race shaped by ideological balance, donor networks, and early primary-state outreach. Late developments such as Senate outcomes or formal announcements could consolidate support before the convention.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,276,823,372
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 7, 2028
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Calon Presiden Demokratik 2028" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 51+ hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" di 18%, diikuti oleh "Jon Ossoff" di 16%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 18¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 18% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Calon Presiden Demokratik 2028" telah menghasilkan $1.3 billion dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 11, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Calon Presiden Demokratik 2028," jelajahi 51+ hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Calon Presiden Demokratik 2028" adalah "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" di 18%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 18% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Jon Ossoff" di 16%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Calon Presiden Demokratik 2028" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.