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Politik·Pemilu AS

Calon Presiden dari Partai Republik 2028

icon for Calon Presiden dari Partai Republik 2028
Politik·Pemilu AS

Calon Presiden dari Partai Republik 2028

J.D. Vance 42.9%

Marco Rubio 27.0%

Ron DeSantis 2.8%

Donald Trump 2.6%

Polymarket

$679,900,335 Vol.

J.D. Vance 42.9%

Marco Rubio 27.0%

Ron DeSantis 2.8%

Donald Trump 2.6%

Polymarket

$679,900,335 Vol.

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$14,662,074 Vol.

43%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$9,972,548 Vol.

27%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$15,072,682 Vol.

3%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$9,314,574 Vol.

3%

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$11,902,992 Vol.

2%

icon for Donald Trump Jr.

Donald Trump Jr.

$9,442,201 Vol.

1%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$15,973,138 Vol.

1%

icon for Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin

$8,420,580 Vol.

1%

icon for Ivanka Trump

Ivanka Trump

$8,114,663 Vol.

1%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$18,684,461 Vol.

1%

icon for Rand Paul

Rand Paul

$19,219,388 Vol.

1%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$20,647,391 Vol.

1%

icon for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$16,754,297 Vol.

1%

icon for Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

$44,349,352 Vol.

1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$28,617,779 Vol.

1%

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$13,578,966 Vol.

1%

icon for Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$32,250,457 Vol.

1%

icon for Thomas Massie

Thomas Massie

$5,894,748 Vol.

1%

icon for Marjorie Taylor Greene

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$6,585,017 Vol.

1%

icon for Brian Kemp

Brian Kemp

$17,453,986 Vol.

1%

icon for Elise Stefanik

Elise Stefanik

$27,921,869 Vol.

1%

icon for Eric Trump

Eric Trump

$9,895,553 Vol.

<1%

icon for Joe Kent

Joe Kent

$8,407,613 Vol.

<1%

icon for Steve Bannon

Steve Bannon

$22,720,248 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$28,354,978 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mike Johnson

Mike Johnson

$162,643 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$10,167,537 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pete Hegseth

Pete Hegseth

$8,609,517 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh Hawley

Josh Hawley

$20,067,287 Vol.

<1%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$18,655,036 Vol.

<1%

icon for Katie Britt

Katie Britt

$28,741,822 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mike Pence

Mike Pence

$43,118,769 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rick Scott

Rick Scott

$176,648 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matt Gaetz

Matt Gaetz

$20,020,804 Vol.

<1%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$318,149 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$35,878,127 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem

$36,067,027 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Brady

Tom Brady

$32,880,958 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tim Scott

Tim Scott

$154,218 Vol.

<1%

icon for Doug Burgum

Doug Burgum

$293,787 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Cotton

Tom Cotton

$205,855 Vol.

<1%

icon for John N. Kennedy

John N. Kennedy

$170,650 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.RFK Jr., serving as HHS Secretary, leads trader consensus at 49% due to his high-profile “Make America Healthy Again” agenda, national tours, and rallies that have built a distinct populist base within the GOP since joining the Trump administration. Sitting Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 33.1% as the institutional frontrunner with early endorsements and polling strength, though his favorability remains mixed amid broader administration headwinds. Secretary of State Marco Rubio sits at 23.9%, reflecting his cabinet role and policy visibility as a potential alternative. Lower-priced names such as Tucker Carlson and Ron DeSantis register limited movement, consistent with fewer recent catalysts shifting their positioning ahead of primary dynamics expected after the 2026 midterms.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$679,900,335
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 7, 2028
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.RFK Jr., serving as HHS Secretary, leads trader consensus at 49% due to his high-profile “Make America Healthy Again” agenda, national tours, and rallies that have built a distinct populist base within the GOP since joining the Trump administration. Sitting Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 33.1% as the institutional frontrunner with early endorsements and polling strength, though his favorability remains mixed amid broader administration headwinds. Secretary of State Marco Rubio sits at 23.9%, reflecting his cabinet role and policy visibility as a potential alternative. Lower-priced names such as Tucker Carlson and Ron DeSantis register limited movement, consistent with fewer recent catalysts shifting their positioning ahead of primary dynamics expected after the 2026 midterms.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$679,900,335
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 7, 2028
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Calon Presiden dari Partai Republik 2028" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 42+ hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "J.D. Vance" di 43%, diikuti oleh "Marco Rubio" di 27%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 43¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 43% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Calon Presiden dari Partai Republik 2028" telah menghasilkan $679.9 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 11, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Calon Presiden dari Partai Republik 2028," jelajahi 42+ hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Calon Presiden dari Partai Republik 2028" adalah "J.D. Vance" di 43%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 43% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Marco Rubio" di 27%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Calon Presiden dari Partai Republik 2028" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.