Skip to main content

Untuk trading di AS, kunjungi polymarket.us

icon for Calon Presiden dari Partai Republik 2028
Politik·Amerika Serikat

Calon Presiden dari Partai Republik 2028

icon for Calon Presiden dari Partai Republik 2028
Politik·Amerika Serikat

Calon Presiden dari Partai Republik 2028

J.D. Vance 50.6%

Marco Rubio 18.5%

Tucker Carlson 3.5%

Ron DeSantis 2.4%

Polymarket

$703,516,535 Vol.

J.D. Vance 50.6%

Marco Rubio 18.5%

Tucker Carlson 3.5%

Ron DeSantis 2.4%

Polymarket

$703,516,535 Vol.

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$15,607,564 Vol.

51%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$10,597,076 Vol.

19%

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$13,776,579 Vol.

4%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$15,507,141 Vol.

2%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$9,544,103 Vol.

2%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$19,356,311 Vol.

2%

icon for Donald Trump Jr.

Donald Trump Jr.

$9,650,161 Vol.

2%

icon for Ivanka Trump

Ivanka Trump

$8,559,393 Vol.

1%

icon for Thomas Massie

Thomas Massie

$6,098,667 Vol.

1%

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$13,951,575 Vol.

1%

icon for Pete Hegseth

Pete Hegseth

$9,352,608 Vol.

1%

icon for Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin

$8,717,056 Vol.

<1%

icon for Brian Kemp

Brian Kemp

$17,935,736 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh Hawley

Josh Hawley

$20,265,056 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marjorie Taylor Greene

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$6,764,527 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$16,107,234 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$16,828,252 Vol.

<1%

icon for Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

$44,417,443 Vol.

<1%

icon for Katie Britt

Katie Britt

$28,949,205 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rand Paul

Rand Paul

$19,529,577 Vol.

<1%

icon for Steve Bannon

Steve Bannon

$22,921,815 Vol.

<1%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$661,074 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$10,382,955 Vol.

<1%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$20,713,182 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elise Stefanik

Elise Stefanik

$27,988,905 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem

$37,619,198 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mike Pence

Mike Pence

$43,688,497 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Brady

Tom Brady

$32,957,660 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$28,562,590 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eric Trump

Eric Trump

$10,366,838 Vol.

<1%

icon for Joe Kent

Joe Kent

$8,926,890 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Cotton

Tom Cotton

$1,571,288 Vol.

<1%

icon for John N. Kennedy

John N. Kennedy

$432,338 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$34,430,303 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$30,418,525 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matt Gaetz

Matt Gaetz

$20,389,102 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$38,164,736 Vol.

<1%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$18,944,699 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tim Scott

Tim Scott

$523,415 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mike Johnson

Mike Johnson

$865,175 Vol.

<1%

icon for Doug Burgum

Doug Burgum

$721,533 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rick Scott

Rick Scott

$750,557 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Vice President J.D. Vance and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. hold nearly even shares in the 2028 Republican presidential nomination market because traders view both as credible successors with distinct bases inside the party coalition. Vance benefits from his role as vice president and recent visibility at the Republican midterm convention, while Kennedy Jr. draws support from crossover appeal and administration service. The wide gap to Marco Rubio and trailing candidates reflects limited early momentum for other figures ahead of post-midterm positioning. Scheduled events such as primary-state organizing and any shifts in Trump administration dynamics could widen separation, as the field remains fluid with no formal declarations and historical precedent showing significant movement closer to the primaries.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$703,516,535
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 7, 2028
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Vice President J.D. Vance and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. hold nearly even shares in the 2028 Republican presidential nomination market because traders view both as credible successors with distinct bases inside the party coalition. Vance benefits from his role as vice president and recent visibility at the Republican midterm convention, while Kennedy Jr. draws support from crossover appeal and administration service. The wide gap to Marco Rubio and trailing candidates reflects limited early momentum for other figures ahead of post-midterm positioning. Scheduled events such as primary-state organizing and any shifts in Trump administration dynamics could widen separation, as the field remains fluid with no formal declarations and historical precedent showing significant movement closer to the primaries.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$703,516,535
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 7, 2028
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Calon Presiden dari Partai Republik 2028" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 42+ hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "J.D. Vance" di 51%, diikuti oleh "Marco Rubio" di 19%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 51¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 51% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Calon Presiden dari Partai Republik 2028" telah menghasilkan $703.5 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 11, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Calon Presiden dari Partai Republik 2028," jelajahi 42+ hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Calon Presiden dari Partai Republik 2028" adalah "J.D. Vance" di 51%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 51% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Marco Rubio" di 19%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Calon Presiden dari Partai Republik 2028" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.