The open Michigan Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Gary Peters, pits progressive nominee Abdul El-Sayed against former Republican congressman Mike Rogers in a battleground contest that could affect Senate majority control. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with a narrow 48.5% to 47.5% victory over Rep. Haley Stevens after state Sen. Mallory McMorrow withdrew. Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Recent polling aggregates show a statistical tie or slim El-Sayed edge of 1-3 points among likely voters, with the race rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with the state's recent narrow margins, El-Sayed's fundraising lead, and the challenges of mobilizing turnout in a state carried by Republicans in the prior presidential election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$792,503 Vol.
$792,503 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
62%
Mike Rogers (R)
40%
$792,503 Vol.
$792,503 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$450,569 Vol.
62%
Mike Rogers (R)
$341,935 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Michigan Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Gary Peters, pits progressive nominee Abdul El-Sayed against former Republican congressman Mike Rogers in a battleground contest that could affect Senate majority control. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with a narrow 48.5% to 47.5% victory over Rep. Haley Stevens after state Sen. Mallory McMorrow withdrew. Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Recent polling aggregates show a statistical tie or slim El-Sayed edge of 1-3 points among likely voters, with the race rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with the state's recent narrow margins, El-Sayed's fundraising lead, and the challenges of mobilizing turnout in a state carried by Republicans in the prior presidential election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Pasar Dibuka: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$792,503Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Michigan Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Gary Peters, pits progressive nominee Abdul El-Sayed against former Republican congressman Mike Rogers in a battleground contest that could affect Senate majority control. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with a narrow 48.5% to 47.5% victory over Rep. Haley Stevens after state Sen. Mallory McMorrow withdrew. Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Recent polling aggregates show a statistical tie or slim El-Sayed edge of 1-3 points among likely voters, with the race rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with the state's recent narrow margins, El-Sayed's fundraising lead, and the challenges of mobilizing turnout in a state carried by Republicans in the prior presidential election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$792,503Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open Michigan Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Gary Peters, pits progressive nominee Abdul El-Sayed against former Republican congressman Mike Rogers in a battleground contest that could affect Senate majority control. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with a narrow 48.5% to 47.5% victory over Rep. Haley Stevens after state Sen. Mallory McMorrow withdrew. Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Recent polling aggregates show a statistical tie or slim El-Sayed edge of 1-3 points among likely voters, with the race rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with the state's recent narrow margins, El-Sayed's fundraising lead, and the challenges of mobilizing turnout in a state carried by Republicans in the prior presidential election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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