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Pemilihan Umum·Pemilu AS

Pemenang Utama Senat Demokrat Michigan

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Pemilihan Umum·Pemilu AS

Pemenang Utama Senat Demokrat Michigan

Mallory McMorrow 47%

Abdul El-Sayed 43%

Haley Stevens 10%

Dana Nessel <1%

Polymarket

$431,113 Vol.

Mallory McMorrow 47%

Abdul El-Sayed 43%

Haley Stevens 10%

Dana Nessel <1%

Polymarket

$431,113 Vol.

Mallory McMorrow

$33,295 Vol.

47%

Abdul El-Sayed

$89,294 Vol.

43%

Haley Stevens

$24,176 Vol.

10%

Dana Nessel

$21,451 Vol.

<1%

Rashida Tlaib

$37,104 Vol.

<1%

Sarah Anthony

$24,697 Vol.

<1%

Andy Levin

$21,385 Vol.

<1%

Matt Sahr

$60,505 Vol.

<1%

Kristen McDonald Rivet

$119,207 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the wide-open Michigan Democratic Senate primary set for August 4, recent Emerson College polling from April 11-13 shows Mallory McMorrow and Abdul El-Sayed virtually tied among likely voters, with Haley Stevens trailing, fueling trader consensus on their slim separation amid high undecideds. McMorrow's edge stems from a March surge in surveys and Elizabeth Warren's endorsement on March 18, bolstering her moderate appeal, while El-Sayed holds progressive support from Bernie Sanders but drew backlash for an April 9 appearance with Hasan Piker. The race's tightness reflects ideological tensions and undecided voters; upcoming debates, fundraising disclosures, and labor union endorsements could tip the balance toward a clearer frontrunner.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$431,113
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the wide-open Michigan Democratic Senate primary set for August 4, recent Emerson College polling from April 11-13 shows Mallory McMorrow and Abdul El-Sayed virtually tied among likely voters, with Haley Stevens trailing, fueling trader consensus on their slim separation amid high undecideds. McMorrow's edge stems from a March surge in surveys and Elizabeth Warren's endorsement on March 18, bolstering her moderate appeal, while El-Sayed holds progressive support from Bernie Sanders but drew backlash for an April 9 appearance with Hasan Piker. The race's tightness reflects ideological tensions and undecided voters; upcoming debates, fundraising disclosures, and labor union endorsements could tip the balance toward a clearer frontrunner.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$431,113
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemenang Utama Senat Demokrat Michigan" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Mallory McMorrow" di 47%, diikuti oleh "Abdul El-Sayed" di 43%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 47¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 47% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemenang Utama Senat Demokrat Michigan" telah menghasilkan $431.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Sep 15, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemenang Utama Senat Demokrat Michigan," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemenang Utama Senat Demokrat Michigan" adalah "Mallory McMorrow" di 47%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 47% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Abdul El-Sayed" di 43%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemenang Utama Senat Demokrat Michigan" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.