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Politik·Primer

Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Market icon
Politik·Primer

Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Ed Markey 83%

Seth Moulton 14%

Ayanna Pressley 2.8%

Alexander Rikleen <1%

Polymarket
BARU

Ed Markey 83%

Seth Moulton 14%

Ayanna Pressley 2.8%

Alexander Rikleen <1%

Polymarket
BARU

Ed Markey

$3,786 Vol.

83%

Seth Moulton

$1,554 Vol.

14%

Ayanna Pressley

$1,530 Vol.

3%

Alexander Rikleen

$915 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Sen. Ed Markey's commanding position in the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary stems from his strong incumbency advantage and recent polling dominance, reflected in trader consensus pricing him at 82.5% to win the September 1 nomination. A Suffolk University/Boston Globe poll from April 9-13 showed Markey leading Rep. Seth Moulton 47%-30% among likely Democratic primary voters, with 20% undecided and Markey's favorability at +75 (84%-9%), widening his edge from February's 35%-23% margin. Moulton, who launched his generational change-focused challenge in October 2025, trails but holds second at 14% on markets. Rep. Ayanna Pressley declined entry in December 2025, while Alexander Rikleen lingers as a fringe contender at 0.3%. High name recognition and progressive record bolster Markey ahead of the summer campaign sprint.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts.

If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$7,785
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Sen. Ed Markey's commanding position in the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary stems from his strong incumbency advantage and recent polling dominance, reflected in trader consensus pricing him at 82.5% to win the September 1 nomination. A Suffolk University/Boston Globe poll from April 9-13 showed Markey leading Rep. Seth Moulton 47%-30% among likely Democratic primary voters, with 20% undecided and Markey's favorability at +75 (84%-9%), widening his edge from February's 35%-23% margin. Moulton, who launched his generational change-focused challenge in October 2025, trails but holds second at 14% on markets. Rep. Ayanna Pressley declined entry in December 2025, while Alexander Rikleen lingers as a fringe contender at 0.3%. High name recognition and progressive record bolster Markey ahead of the summer campaign sprint.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts.

If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$7,785
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Ed Markey" di 83%, diikuti oleh "Seth Moulton" di 14%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 83¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 83% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Dec 2, 2025. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner" adalah "Ed Markey" di 83%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 83% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Seth Moulton" di 14%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.