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Politik·Primer

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politik·Primer

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

Thomas Chalifoux 35%

Justin Story 12%

Marcus Carter 8%

Jorge Malavet 7%

Polymarket

$10,530 Vol.

Thomas Chalifoux 35%

Justin Story 12%

Marcus Carter 8%

Jorge Malavet 7%

Polymarket

$10,530 Vol.

Thomas Chalifoux

$799 Vol.

52%

Justin Story

$7,530 Vol.

23%

Marcus Carter

$289 Vol.

8%

Jorge Malavet

$1,912 Vol.

7%

Howard Steven Rance

$0 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Thomas Chalifoux leads trader consensus at 51% implied probability in the FL-09 Republican primary due to his overwhelming fundraising edge, reporting $2.3 million raised and $2.1 million cash on hand as of late March 2026—primarily self-funded—dwarfing rivals like Justin Story's $42,000 and others under $100,000. This financial dominance, combined with Chalifoux's prior 2024 candidacy building local name recognition as a retired Army colonel, drives his frontrunner status among skin-in-the-game bettors. Story holds second at 28.5% on momentum from his Marine veteran background and recent press on issues like TSA privatization and foreign policy. No public polls exist; the August 18 primary looms amid ongoing state redistricting talks potentially reshaping the district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$10,530
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Thomas Chalifoux leads trader consensus at 51% implied probability in the FL-09 Republican primary due to his overwhelming fundraising edge, reporting $2.3 million raised and $2.1 million cash on hand as of late March 2026—primarily self-funded—dwarfing rivals like Justin Story's $42,000 and others under $100,000. This financial dominance, combined with Chalifoux's prior 2024 candidacy building local name recognition as a retired Army colonel, drives his frontrunner status among skin-in-the-game bettors. Story holds second at 28.5% on momentum from his Marine veteran background and recent press on issues like TSA privatization and foreign policy. No public polls exist; the August 18 primary looms amid ongoing state redistricting talks potentially reshaping the district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$10,530
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"FL-09 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Thomas Chalifoux" di 52%, diikuti oleh "Justin Story" di 23%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 52¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 52% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "FL-09 Republican Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $10.5K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 23, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "FL-09 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "FL-09 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Thomas Chalifoux" di 52%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 52% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Justin Story" di 23%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "FL-09 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.