Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean, his established record on agriculture and Trump-aligned policies, and a decisive primary win. Democrat Adam Hamilton, a Leawood pastor who prevailed in a crowded August primary, has drawn attention through substantial fundraising and a centrist pitch, but faces longstanding structural challenges in a state without a Democratic senator since 1939. Recent polling shows a narrower contest than typical, with some surveys placing the race within single digits, while trader consensus on prediction markets continues to price Marshall well ahead. A September 13 debate at the Kansas State Fair featured pointed exchanges on tariffs, immigration visas, and Marshall's ties to the Trump administration, though no major polling shifts have followed. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiKansas Senate Election Winner
Kansas Senate Election Winner
$50,729 Vol.
$50,729 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Roger Marshall (R)
80%
Adam Hamilton (D)
22%
$50,729 Vol.
$50,729 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Roger Marshall (R)
$32,737 Vol.
80%
Adam Hamilton (D)
$17,992 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean, his established record on agriculture and Trump-aligned policies, and a decisive primary win. Democrat Adam Hamilton, a Leawood pastor who prevailed in a crowded August primary, has drawn attention through substantial fundraising and a centrist pitch, but faces longstanding structural challenges in a state without a Democratic senator since 1939. Recent polling shows a narrower contest than typical, with some surveys placing the race within single digits, while trader consensus on prediction markets continues to price Marshall well ahead. A September 13 debate at the Kansas State Fair featured pointed exchanges on tariffs, immigration visas, and Marshall's ties to the Trump administration, though no major polling shifts have followed. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Pasar Dibuka: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Volume
$50,729Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean, his established record on agriculture and Trump-aligned policies, and a decisive primary win. Democrat Adam Hamilton, a Leawood pastor who prevailed in a crowded August primary, has drawn attention through substantial fundraising and a centrist pitch, but faces longstanding structural challenges in a state without a Democratic senator since 1939. Recent polling shows a narrower contest than typical, with some surveys placing the race within single digits, while trader consensus on prediction markets continues to price Marshall well ahead. A September 13 debate at the Kansas State Fair featured pointed exchanges on tariffs, immigration visas, and Marshall's ties to the Trump administration, though no major polling shifts have followed. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$50,729Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean, his established record on agriculture and Trump-aligned policies, and a decisive primary win. Democrat Adam Hamilton, a Leawood pastor who prevailed in a crowded August primary, has drawn attention through substantial fundraising and a centrist pitch, but faces longstanding structural challenges in a state without a Democratic senator since 1939. Recent polling shows a narrower contest than typical, with some surveys placing the race within single digits, while trader consensus on prediction markets continues to price Marshall well ahead. A September 13 debate at the Kansas State Fair featured pointed exchanges on tariffs, immigration visas, and Marshall's ties to the Trump administration, though no major polling shifts have followed. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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