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icon for Pemilihan Wali Kota Los Angeles
Politik·LA

Pemilihan Wali Kota Los Angeles

icon for Pemilihan Wali Kota Los Angeles
Politik·LA

Pemilihan Wali Kota Los Angeles

Polymarket

$13,688,326 Vol.

Polymarket

$13,688,326 Vol.

icon for Karen Bass

Karen Bass

$946,719 Vol.

65%

icon for Nithya Raman

Nithya Raman

$1,595,267 Vol.

36%

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass holds a trader consensus lead in the November 3 runoff, reflecting her established name recognition and primary performance that placed her ahead of challenger Nithya Raman. Recent developments have narrowed the gap, including Raman's endorsements from labor groups such as Unite Here and the Carpenters union, plus the Democratic Socialists of America chapter, which have boosted her campaign momentum. Bass faces headwinds from low approval ratings and criticism over city issues like homelessness and post-wildfire recovery, prompting her team to launch attacks labeling Raman as absent on key votes. Polling shows Bass ahead but by modest margins, consistent with the current implied probabilities and the competitive nature of this intraparty contest.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Volume
$13,688,326
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass holds a trader consensus lead in the November 3 runoff, reflecting her established name recognition and primary performance that placed her ahead of challenger Nithya Raman. Recent developments have narrowed the gap, including Raman's endorsements from labor groups such as Unite Here and the Carpenters union, plus the Democratic Socialists of America chapter, which have boosted her campaign momentum. Bass faces headwinds from low approval ratings and criticism over city issues like homelessness and post-wildfire recovery, prompting her team to launch attacks labeling Raman as absent on key votes. Polling shows Bass ahead but by modest margins, consistent with the current implied probabilities and the competitive nature of this intraparty contest.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Volume
$13,688,326
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemilihan Wali Kota Los Angeles" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 11 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Karen Bass" di 65%, diikuti oleh "Nithya Raman" di 36%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 65¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 65% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemilihan Wali Kota Los Angeles" telah menghasilkan $13.7 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Oct 9, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemilihan Wali Kota Los Angeles," jelajahi 11 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemilihan Wali Kota Los Angeles" adalah "Karen Bass" di 65%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 65% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Nithya Raman" di 36%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemilihan Wali Kota Los Angeles" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.