Minnesota's status as a reliably Democratic-leaning state, combined with an open Senate seat following Tina Smith's retirement, underpins trader consensus favoring the eventual Democratic nominee at 93.5% implied probability. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Likely Democratic, reflecting the party's consistent success in statewide races and advantages in voter registration and turnout patterns. The August 11 Democratic primary between U.S. Representative Angie Craig and Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan remains competitive based on recent surveys, yet the general-election matchup is viewed as structurally favorable regardless of nominee. Republican primary frontrunner Michele Tafoya trails significantly in early general-election polling averages. Factors that could narrow the gap include unexpected primary outcomes, shifts in national political conditions before November 2026, or unusually high Republican turnout in key regions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMinnesota Senate Election Winner
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
$33,700 Vol.
$33,700 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
94%
Republican
7%
$33,700 Vol.
$33,700 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$22,641 Vol.
94%
Republican
$11,059 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's status as a reliably Democratic-leaning state, combined with an open Senate seat following Tina Smith's retirement, underpins trader consensus favoring the eventual Democratic nominee at 93.5% implied probability. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Likely Democratic, reflecting the party's consistent success in statewide races and advantages in voter registration and turnout patterns. The August 11 Democratic primary between U.S. Representative Angie Craig and Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan remains competitive based on recent surveys, yet the general-election matchup is viewed as structurally favorable regardless of nominee. Republican primary frontrunner Michele Tafoya trails significantly in early general-election polling averages. Factors that could narrow the gap include unexpected primary outcomes, shifts in national political conditions before November 2026, or unusually high Republican turnout in key regions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Pasar Dibuka: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$33,700Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's status as a reliably Democratic-leaning state, combined with an open Senate seat following Tina Smith's retirement, underpins trader consensus favoring the eventual Democratic nominee at 93.5% implied probability. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Likely Democratic, reflecting the party's consistent success in statewide races and advantages in voter registration and turnout patterns. The August 11 Democratic primary between U.S. Representative Angie Craig and Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan remains competitive based on recent surveys, yet the general-election matchup is viewed as structurally favorable regardless of nominee. Republican primary frontrunner Michele Tafoya trails significantly in early general-election polling averages. Factors that could narrow the gap include unexpected primary outcomes, shifts in national political conditions before November 2026, or unusually high Republican turnout in key regions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$33,700Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's status as a reliably Democratic-leaning state, combined with an open Senate seat following Tina Smith's retirement, underpins trader consensus favoring the eventual Democratic nominee at 93.5% implied probability. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Likely Democratic, reflecting the party's consistent success in statewide races and advantages in voter registration and turnout patterns. The August 11 Democratic primary between U.S. Representative Angie Craig and Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan remains competitive based on recent surveys, yet the general-election matchup is viewed as structurally favorable regardless of nominee. Republican primary frontrunner Michele Tafoya trails significantly in early general-election polling averages. Factors that could narrow the gap include unexpected primary outcomes, shifts in national political conditions before November 2026, or unusually high Republican turnout in key regions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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